I have just finished reading this book. It is a good read for a number of reasons, the main ones by Horton:Lancet editor attacks UK government for ‘catastrophic’ handling of Covid-19 pandemic
https://amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproj ... 9-pandemic
I've ordered the book. Will be an "interesting" read..
1. How the Western governments lied, again and again (herd immunity, PPE equipment, Spitfire/Duinkerke metaphor)
2. How the UK governments failed to take action.
3.Collusion between scientists and government. Scientists suffer from cognitive bias and/or were muzzled by their politicians.
4. "The arrogance of exceptionallsm ", nuff said.
The most relevant page to my own weltanschauung is page 51 (March 16 - 23 March). Main events
1. Graham Medley (gov scientific advisor) on Newnight advocates a "nice big epidemic".
2. Sir Patrick Vallance suggests goal is to infect 60% of UK population (aka herd immunity).
(BTW I heard 1 and 2)
3. March 16 public advised to desist from non-essential travel.
4. March 18 schools out for summer
5. March 20, bars etc. shut
6. March 23 "stay at home"
The government basically panicked.
To quote "what is mysterious is that it didn't need the predictions of scientists at Imperial College London in March to estimate the impact of a 'watch-and-wait' approach. Any numerate school student could make the calculation."
So, that 20-year old code never worked (as discussed in my report) and probably never used. It was a smoke-screen.
The pieces fit together... case closed.