SERVING THE QUANTITATIVE FINANCE COMMUNITY

 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 13th, 2019, 2:31 pm

It's worth recalling the May 18, 2017 text from Peter Strzok to Lisa Page at about the time the FBI launched the probe
"You and I both know the odds are nothing. If I thought it was likely I’d be there no question. I hesitate in part because of my gut sense and concern there’s no big there there”
 
User avatar
bearish
Posts: 5526
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 13th, 2019, 8:59 pm

I guess this has been circulating for a couple of days, but I just came across it. A 60-year old TV show featuring a huckster who convinces the inhabitants in a small Texas town that they need to build a wall as protection against some made-up apocalyptic event. His name? Trump. For real... 
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 13th, 2019, 10:10 pm

more than a few days, it was uploaded January 2017.
Both Obama and BJ Clinton built barriers on the border, and at least part of Obama's barrier used steel bollards like the most recent Trump proposal.
You've seen the quotes from people like Chucky Schmucky and Hillary telling us that we need to stop illegal immigration and that a border barrier is needed.
A barrier was needed when Obama and Clinton built one, but orange man bad?
 
User avatar
bearish
Posts: 5526
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 13th, 2019, 10:13 pm

Orangutan bad. Definitely. But, it is uncanny that nearly 60 years ahead of time they would predict a huckster insisting that the locals have to pay him to build a wall to defend against a made-up catastrophe. And his name was Trump. 
 
User avatar
bearish
Posts: 5526
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 14th, 2019, 3:11 am

Trump's hatred for little brown fuckers.
even for you, that is truly an odious statement
President Trump's administration has just negotiated a trade agreement with Mexico (and Canada), the USMCA, which enables qualifying Mexican professionals (those same people whom you consider to be "little brown fuckers") to work in the US legally.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-equate ... 00080.html
Between this and his election campaign mantra of Mexican rapists, I think we a have pretty good basis for the "little brown fuckers" term. And most of them probably don't have his impressive toad stool head, as per his erstwhile fuck buddy Stormy. 
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 14th, 2019, 7:00 am

There's been a barrier on the border since at least 1945, so there was one in place when that clip was made.

There's no doubt that some of those crossing illegally are bad people. And there's no doubt that some are child rapists.
Yahoo news played the orange man bad card again, with the misleading headline, "Trump equates illegal immigrants with paedophiles in attempt to justify need for border wall"
What exactly does "Trump equates illegal immigrants with paedophiles" mean? It seems to be intended to give the impression that the president thinks that illegals and pedophiles are one and the same, and the president does not think that at all. The headline is fake news.
The president said that some of the illegals are pedophiles, yes. And of course some of them are.

As the president has said before, the wall would have doors. The millions of mexicans who cross the southern border legally each year do so through ports of entry, which are the "doors." At those ports of entry, people entering the US are screened. 
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 14th, 2019, 7:29 am

there's a lot of Ted Cruz news today
Senator Cruz has reintroduced the Ensuring Lawful Collection of Hidden Assets to Provide Order Act, or EL CHAPO Act, to Congress.
El Chapo is a mexican druglord who was worth $14B when he was arrested, and the Cruz bill would allocate any money or assets seized from El Chapo to help fund  the wall.
 
User avatar
ISayMoo
Posts: 2294
Joined: September 30th, 2015, 8:30 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 14th, 2019, 10:38 am

What if most of the assets are illegal drugs?
 
User avatar
bearish
Posts: 5526
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 2:53 am

Even Tom Clancy would have struggled getting a book published where the president of the United States is a clear and present danger to the country. At least in his early years. Or maybe it's more of a John Grisham thing. The Trump family is a lot like The Firm, once you think about it. 
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 6:43 am

the Deep State is classic Robert Ludlum, a shadow government running the country and conspiring to bring down the elected president and replace him with the Clinton crime family
 
User avatar
rmax
Posts: 6080
Joined: December 8th, 2005, 9:31 am

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 10:52 am

What I don't understand is that the illegal boarder crossings are less now than they have been for a number of years, most illegals come through airports. Drugs are traffiked through tunnels and impromptu landing strips.

So why is a Wall needed?
 
User avatar
bearish
Posts: 5526
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 11:54 am

Trump woke up one morning a few years ago and thought “wall, big, must build!” Then he ran around the country making it one of the three pillars of his presidential campaign along with banning all Muslims from the US and locking up Hilary Clinton. Having failed in the latter two, he now is afraid of looking like a foolish loser if he can’t get the wall. Nothing to do with reality as we otherwise perceive it. And he obviously doesn’t care in the slightest about the misery caused by the shutdown, which is starting to bite.
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 12:46 pm

No one knows how many people cross the border illegally. We have a figure for "apprehensions," meaning people who were caught or handed themselves in. To a large extent, we have catch-and-release at the border. People turn themselves in, say they want asylum, and are given a court date and released. According to senate testimony from Homeland Secretary Nielsen, over 90% don't show up for the court date.
The number of apprehensions has dropped from the peak in the early 2000s, but is that because fewer cross the border illegally or because a smaller percentage are turning themselves in?

Record number of migrant families arrested while crossing U.S. border in December 2018
A busy December set another record for the number of migrant parents and children taken into custody, as U.S. border agents arrested 27,518 members of “family units,” according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection statistics released Wednesday.
Overall, authorities detained 60,782 migrants attempting to enter the United States without authorization. It marked the third consecutive month that the figure — the most widely used barometer of border trends — topped 60,000, remaining near the highest levels of the Trump presidency.
60,782 apprehensions in a month is 730k a year. 730k a year may be down from the peak in the early 2000s, but is still a flood.

The number of families and children being apprehended is at record levels. Is that because they're coming in before the border is sealed or because they expect an amnesty?
Because of an Obama-era policy, illegals think, with good reason, that if they bring their kids across the border with them they will receive more lenient treatment.
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 15th, 2019, 1:53 pm

mark morgan, head of the border patrol under obama, on fox
 
User avatar
ppauper
Posts: 70239
Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

January 16th, 2019, 2:09 am

flashback to the Secure Fence Act of 2006
ABOUT WILMOTT

PW by JB

Wilmott.com has been "Serving the Quantitative Finance Community" since 2001. Continued...


Twitter LinkedIn Instagram

JOBS BOARD

JOBS BOARD

Looking for a quant job, risk, algo trading,...? Browse jobs here...


GZIP: On