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by figoliuxi
June 24th, 2021, 4:12 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: OAS for HY bonds
Replies: 3
Views: 26598

Re: OAS for HY bonds

I think the answer is the same as it was back then - it depends. Obviously, HY credit analysts will expend a lot of energy on trying to gauge the default probability and recovery potential, even if they don’t necessarily phrase it as such. Traders tend to focus a lot more on the OAS (however define...
by figoliuxi
June 23rd, 2021, 9:49 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: OAS for HY bonds
Replies: 3
Views: 26598

Re: OAS for HY bonds

I am looking for answers to the same question. Do people typically do default modelling when value the high yield bond? Or a single OAS value would do its work?
by figoliuxi
March 21st, 2018, 8:44 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Question on Calculating KRD and durations: how to make sure curve consistency
Replies: 0
Views: 1618

Question on Calculating KRD and durations: how to make sure curve consistency

As we all know how to calculate KRD and effective duration: shock your curve (could be spot/forward/par) and get the price difference.  However, there seems to be a problem with the method. If my curve was constructed from market instruments and now I would like to shock arbitrary month key point, I...
by figoliuxi
August 10th, 2017, 6:11 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: CDS Indices
Replies: 3
Views: 47633

Re: CDS Indices

The market convention is indeed to price  the index of flat term-structure curve equal to the quoted spread for that maturity.   This doesn't cause any arbitrage as the Index CDS is fixed coupon and always settled upfront (i.e. the PV of paying the standard coupon and receive expected losses).   Se...
by figoliuxi
August 3rd, 2017, 7:50 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Hazard Rate Bootstrapping for CDS Indices
Replies: 1
Views: 1479

Re: Hazard Rate Bootstrapping for CDS Indices

Have you figured out this? I feel using flat hazard curve, a.k.a convention spread would be good enough. 
by figoliuxi
December 23rd, 2016, 9:23 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Curve building without basis swap
Replies: 0
Views: 910

Curve building without basis swap

What if I want to build a curve to price swaps on Libor 1w, Libor 2m or Libor 2y. According to multiple curve framework, I'd better build those curves by having 1w/3m basis swap, 2m/3m basis swap and 2y/3m basis swap. But as we know, those contracts are not traded at all. In this sense, how should I...
by figoliuxi
July 27th, 2016, 6:44 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: BREXIT
Replies: 39
Views: 5995

Re: BREXIT

Many thanks Martinghoul. I am trying to avoid using fixing to build my curve since it may bring in volatility of my real time curve. a.k.a before and after fixing was published.
It makes perfect sense of having this rate cut expectation under FRA quotes. 
by figoliuxi
July 27th, 2016, 5:21 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: BREXIT
Replies: 39
Views: 5995

Re: BREXIT

So, to be sure, the rates you're showing above are par rates for 6m FRAs, starting in 1m, 2m,..,18m?  In other words, does 1m, 2m..., 18m denote the term of the FRA or the fwd start? Yeah. they are basically representing 1*7, 2*8, 3*9, etc.  Ah, in which case, aren't you forgetting smth?  Remember ...
by figoliuxi
July 26th, 2016, 5:59 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: BREXIT
Replies: 39
Views: 5995

Re: BREXIT

So, to be sure, the rates you're showing above are par rates for 6m FRAs, starting in 1m, 2m,..,18m?  In other words, does 1m, 2m..., 18m denote the term of the FRA or the fwd start?
Yeah. they are basically representing 1*7, 2*8, 3*9, etc. 
by figoliuxi
July 26th, 2016, 3:39 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: BREXIT
Replies: 39
Views: 5995

Re: BREXIT

Now the BREXIT is voted and we saw the swap curve flatten out and the 2y swap rate is consistently higher than 1m to 18m Libor 6m FRA rate. What's the story behind? Am I safe to make money by entering into FRA and a 2y receiver swap (receive swap rate)? I am not sure exactly what you're saying.  Wh...
by figoliuxi
July 25th, 2016, 9:28 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: BREXIT
Replies: 39
Views: 5995

Re: BREXIT

Now the BREXIT is voted and we saw the swap curve flatten out and the 2y swap rate is consistently higher than 1m to 18m Libor 6m FRA rate. What's the story behind? Am I safe to make money by entering into FRA and a 2y receiver swap (receive swap rate)?
by figoliuxi
June 8th, 2016, 7:16 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: OIS quotes: 1w,2w,3w VS 1m
Replies: 3
Views: 1350

OIS quotes: 1w,2w,3w VS 1m

<t>Thank you so much for the explanation Martingalehoul!Yeah, I am observing sometimes the 1,2,3 week OIS rate is higher than 1 month OIS rate. For example, on 5/3, the mid-quote of 1,2,3 week OIS rate is 0.365% but the 1 month OIS was quoted as 0.362%. I guess this is due to special reasons like yo...
by figoliuxi
June 6th, 2016, 3:27 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: OIS quotes: 1w,2w,3w VS 1m
Replies: 3
Views: 1350

OIS quotes: 1w,2w,3w VS 1m

<t>Hi Guys, can you help me to understand why sometimes I observe in the OIS market (both Euro and US), the 3 week quote would be higher than 1m quote? Does this mean we do expect the overnight rate goes lower during the 4th week? Or it's just a supply/demand issue regarding to the huge liquidity di...
by figoliuxi
September 22nd, 2015, 9:28 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Bootstrapping SurvivalProb from CDS spreads
Replies: 26
Views: 87265

Bootstrapping SurvivalProb from CDS spreads

<t>Can I bring this old topic back to the top for a second? I tried the spreadsheet attached on my problem. So basically, If I get spread input very large, i.e. Tenor (Years) CDS spreads (in BPS)1 20002 25003 28004 37005 4600I cannot construct the credit curve. Basically, for the 4th and 5th knots, ...
by figoliuxi
December 16th, 2014, 8:15 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Pricing instruments on multiple trees
Replies: 2
Views: 3495

Pricing instruments on multiple trees

<t>Thank you very much, Bearish! I like your idea of adding a spread (deterministic or stochastic) to the single tree. It will resolve the mapping issue. Also, it basically use single state to represent multiple attributes as you mentioned. That makes perfect sense. I am a little bit confused about ...
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