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by investor82
February 27th, 2014, 1:56 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Fat Tails from Errors on Errors
Replies: 12
Views: 8582

Fat Tails from Errors on Errors

<r>Looks like I already did that as well <URL url="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Jumpevents/sandboxthe"><LINK_TEXT text="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Jump ... sandboxthe">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Jumpevents/sandboxthe</LINK_TEXT></URL> same as your formula on section 2.1 formula...
by investor82
February 20th, 2014, 8:11 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the big secret that the US economy is not doing all that well
Replies: 9
Views: 11677

the big secret that the US economy is not doing all that well

Given the huge runup in value there must people people with millions of dollars tied up in mtgox but I have not heard a peep form them
by investor82
February 20th, 2014, 8:04 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Price option where underlying has cap and a floor
Replies: 25
Views: 9837

Price option where underlying has cap and a floor

<r>Here's a writeup I did that could help assuming there is an upper barrier <URL url="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Barrieroption/sandboxthe"><LINK_TEXT text="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Barr ... sandboxthe">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Barrieroption/sandboxthe</LINK_TEXT></URL> p...
by investor82
August 5th, 2013, 6:24 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: pricing options with two volatilities
Replies: 1
Views: 7302

pricing options with two volatilities

<t>imagine you have two volatilities , the second which is 'activated' when the stock crosses a barrier called p_b. The present price is p_1. p_b>p_1this can be used to price options after a crash when it's assumed that options are more expensive in the short term and over the long term reverting to...
by investor82
August 1st, 2013, 3:28 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: End of the Quant Era?
Replies: 14
Views: 9563

End of the Quant Era?

so it's a giant backtesting spreadsheet
by investor82
July 16th, 2013, 3:37 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

<r>Never buy a product that the owner of the company that makes it doesn't use, or, in the case of, say, medication, wouldn't contingently use.hmm how about a casket? <URL url="http://www.businessinsider.com/nassim-talebs-musings-on-facebook-2013-7#ixzz2ZE7PoBBs"><LINK_TEXT text="http://www.business...
by investor82
July 4th, 2013, 10:43 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: How does Renaissance Technologies invest?
Replies: 20
Views: 63619

How does Renaissance Technologies invest?

<t>I can consistently beat the market. Up 25% since May when the market is flat, so if I can do it certainly a genius like Simmons and his team can do it. It's about looking for small patterns, inefficiencies to exploit. Second, always trust your intuition. If you think oil is going higher just buy ...
by investor82
July 4th, 2013, 10:14 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Value of call option when stock price is zero
Replies: 13
Views: 9124

Value of call option when stock price is zero

a 0$ asset cannot appreciate. 0 times anyting is zero. If the market deems it worth more than zero, then the call will be priced accordingly, regardless of what formula is used.
by investor82
July 4th, 2013, 10:09 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

I tried doing some reading on wikipedia about the major macroeconomic leaders & theories- of the 20th century. 500 links later I still haven't scratched the surface.i'll sum it up as best as I can:good is better than badthe goal of economics: maximize good
by investor82
July 1st, 2013, 7:40 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: DominicConnor<brSo the better question is what does he want ?He wants policy makers, governments to heed his advice. The problem is doing so will cause a recession and the destruction of trillions of wealth. Until he proposes sensible, pragmatic ideas he's going to rema...
by investor82
June 18th, 2013, 3:07 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

I just can't wrap my mind around how in his books he's criticizing mathematical finance yet he uses financial math in his papers? Pick one or the other. The income he earns from lectures and books overrides this apparent contradiction.
by investor82
June 18th, 2013, 12:48 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: DevonFangsTo be honest, I quite like NNT and find what he says overall enjoyable. I don't really like his perennial self important attitude, that he's rich and he can master french poetry and never wears a tie etc., but I guess that's part of the show. Instead, what I r...
by investor82
June 17th, 2013, 2:43 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Explaining how stocks work
Replies: 15
Views: 9942

Explaining how stocks work

<t>aghh damn it ..BLK is up a lot today I wish I had bought it last weekfrom my testing C2S has less time sensitivity. An actionable strategy assuming C2S model is valid is to buy options with as little time value as possible, such as weeklies.pricing the BLK June 22th calls There's 5 days until exp...
by investor82
June 16th, 2013, 11:20 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: nicholas nassim taleb jealous
Replies: 119
Views: 20704

nicholas nassim taleb jealous

<r> <URL url="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cornwall_CapitalCornwall">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cornwall_CapitalCornwall</URL> Capital was founded in 2003 by then 30-year olds Charles Ledley and James Mai in a garage in Berkeley, CA with $110,000 in capital.[4] Within 2 years they had grown their ...
by investor82
June 15th, 2013, 4:13 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Explaining how stocks work
Replies: 15
Views: 9942

Explaining how stocks work

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: DevonFangsPlease use this, to be honest the idea of a TOE for stock market is already hard to take seriously even without MS paint.yea the toe is just a simple visual representation of the relationship of variables. A lot of technical analysis books represent stock char...
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