<t>The bridge analogy clarified this one perfectly, this is the "motion" of a single pot of money under Brownian motion. The game begins with "A" holding seven dollars. The game stops when "A" has zero dollars (A loss) or twenty dollars (B loss). I did a Monte Carlo with 1,000,000 games to find that...

This secret formula makes as much sense

Hazzah!Looking forward to it.I am right 19 times out of 20

Can overclock an hp-80

<t>A classic problem with a logical solution.This is an easier way to visualize the solution without the binomial tree to a single node.o-o-o-o-o <Start| | | | |o-o-o-o-o| | | | |o-o-o-o-o^StopSince there is no backtracking allowed, the total number of directions is always the same (in this Cartesia...

<t>Chiral 3 and Super... top 10 films, hm... "round up the usual suspects"My vote is "Baraka" - reminds me of Akira Kurosawa films or the meditative quality of a Philip Glass score.Also the Qatsi Trilogy of Hayaanisqatsi - life out of balancePowaqqatsi - life in transformationNaqoyqatsi - life as wa...

<t>I saw an interview with the president of MENSA once. She described how she spends her lunch hour.- take the lift down ?? floors- take a taxi ?? blocks to her health club- take the lift up ?? floors- spend 30 minutes on a stair climber- take the lift down ?? floors- take the taxi ?? blocks back to...

A far better reason is to pay lots of taxes. I am only glad we don't get as much govenment as we pay for.

<t>Thanks HA for jumping in.Monte Carlo(MC) is mentioned a lot for sampling.Markov Chain(MC) is a chain of events where each event depends on the previous one. This does not mean that the process you are modelling must be a time dependent one. The chain of events is part of the refinement algorithm ...

jaiman:Not a trick, but it worked OK, was fair and all students agreed that it was fair. Game theory says the other side should not know my strategy. Remember from Herbert's DuneQuoteThe first step in avoiding a trap is knowing its existenceWhat a teaser, eh?**Canadian thing

<t>The posted references are a good start, and I'm sure you'd like to try out MCMC on the cheap side (not Cheapside)As for software, I have been using BUGS (Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling, available for free at Cambridge Biostats department. It has an online manual with dozens of examples. ...

James:I have used a social engineering solution that has been quite effective. I PM'ed you, the forum is too popular for its own good sometimes.

<t>My viewpoint is from the production end on the tightly regulated Canadian Natural gas market and electrical production in North America.Short term Natural Gas demands (~days-months) are modelled with the non-linear time series and NN that HA mentioned. Some information low pressure weather system...

<t>Latest variation is they buy a big ticket item from you on ebay, send a certified cheque on some foreign bank. You ship the item or pass title. Weeks later the cheque is found to be bogus. You are on the hook for the money and can't go after them.Lesson - a certified cheque does not guarentee fun...

<t>NASA was aware of potential damage shortly after launch as seen by this memo written two days before the end of the mission. Memo of the potential damageIn reaction to this warning, Don L. McCormack wrote, "Thermal analyses indicate possible localized structural damage but no burn-through, and no...