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by ndr
November 24th, 2003, 2:32 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Inference Challenge
Replies: 342
Views: 219716

Inference Challenge

A variation of simulated method of moments, fitting a garch model and matching some functions of its coefficients and residuals.
by ndr
November 24th, 2003, 1:42 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Inference Challenge
Replies: 342
Views: 219716

Inference Challenge

(omega, theta, xi, rho) = (.044, 5.4, .021, -.44)
by ndr
November 12th, 2003, 6:21 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Justification for MLE
Replies: 26
Views: 192058

Justification for MLE

<t>Let's see. We have a sample of X_i, each a vector, then MLE is argmax \sum Ln p(X_i | parm). Sometimes we only observe one point X, e.g. time series, then it becomes maximizingLn p(X | parm) = Ln p(X[1] ... X[n] | parm) = \sum Ln p(X[j] | X[j-1] ... X[1] , parm) QuoteOriginally posted by: rezaalm...
by ndr
November 12th, 2003, 3:05 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Justification for MLE
Replies: 26
Views: 192058

Justification for MLE

but that would give, calling parm* the ideal set and parm the one we are estimating\int Ln{p(X | parm)} p(X | pam*) dX ~ \sum Ln { p(X[j] | parm) }Reza, this sounds right. I thought this was MLE, no?
by ndr
November 11th, 2003, 10:46 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Justification for MLE
Replies: 26
Views: 192058

Justification for MLE

ML estimate minimizes Kullback-Leibler distance to the impirical distribution.
by ndr
June 11th, 2003, 10:20 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: is beta distribution infinitely divisible?
Replies: 3
Views: 189957

is beta distribution infinitely divisible?

Hi everybody, i wonder if beta distribution is infinitely divisible? Any references on the subject?Thanks.
by ndr
April 15th, 2003, 2:25 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Correlating distributions
Replies: 9
Views: 191236

Correlating distributions

In other words, you should use copula methodology, probably Gaussian copula in your case. That would allow establishing dependence for arbitrary marginal distributions.
by ndr
February 17th, 2003, 4:55 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: finding the maximum Value of a Function.
Replies: 12
Views: 190930

finding the maximum Value of a Function.

<t>seems that you are looking at a very general optimization problem, i.e. objective function in nonconvex and may have many local minima. In that case you should look into direct search methods. Simulated annealing is a powerful method, genetic algorithms could be applied as well, e.g. tabu search,...
by ndr
January 28th, 2003, 2:49 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem
Replies: 9
Views: 190909

Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem

<t>prospero, B_f/B_d has a stochastic component that comes from the interest rate processes. RN derivative dQ_f/dQ_d=(X_t*B_f(t))/(X_0*B_d(t)), and changing the measure from Q_f to to Q is the same as changing the numeraire from B_f to B_d/X. We can add another uncertainty source exogenously, howeve...
by ndr
January 25th, 2003, 3:36 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem
Replies: 9
Views: 190909

Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem

<t>Martingale, thanks, that sounds pretty general, i'd need some time to decipher it for my calculus is a little rusty. I'm pondering over the following question. Consider a two country economy described by correlated interest rates processes. Suppose we know risk neutral measures in each country so...
by ndr
January 24th, 2003, 9:36 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem
Replies: 9
Views: 190909

Conditions of the Girsanov Theorem

Would Girsanov still hold for a multi-factor model, e.g. with stochastic vol? What is Girsanov in its most general formulation?Any references will be greatly appreciated.
by ndr
January 24th, 2003, 6:25 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: bivariate t-distribution
Replies: 1
Views: 190051

bivariate t-distribution

R has a package for multivariate t.
by ndr
January 20th, 2003, 2:37 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: State-price density vs. risk-neutral density
Replies: 25
Views: 193262

State-price density vs. risk-neutral density

reza, thanks a lot! it is very helpful.
by ndr
January 18th, 2003, 7:21 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: State-price density vs. risk-neutral density
Replies: 25
Views: 193262

State-price density vs. risk-neutral density

<t>I am looking to estimate state price density under the market measure. An interest model that I'm using does not permit an analytic solution. Any references/ideas on possible functional form for the density? To put it differently, if I know dynamics of a process under both risk neutral(Q) and mar...
by ndr
October 18th, 2002, 1:06 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Kalman Filter
Replies: 25
Views: 193351

Kalman Filter

Gill,you're right it's not there anymore. Two papers I mentioned were essentially two versions of the same paper. You can get the later one here.
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