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by Alan
Yesterday, 8:03 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump -- the last 100 days
Replies: 4546
Views: 397849

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

I could be wrong on this, but it is my understanding that the current indictment is for crimes committed under NY state law. A resulting conviction would not be subject to presidential pardon - that only applies to federal convictions. And the NY governor may or may not be inclined toward offering ...
by Alan
Yesterday, 12:16 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump -- the last 100 days
Replies: 4546
Views: 397849

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

My theory on how this all plays out. Trump is indicted two or three times and goes to his first trial no earlier than late 2024, after the election. In the meantime, Ron DeSantis becomes the Republican nominee and wins the presidency against Biden. If Trump wins all his court cases -- end of story. ...
by Alan
Yesterday, 3:27 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Re: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

Thanks for your research. So, given the above, my current best guess about the meaning of "one month ahead" for the US Treasury Par Yield curve is: One month ahead from YYYY-MM-DD means: - First, see if DD exists in the next month. If it does and is a Good Business Day take that as maturit...
by Alan
March 30th, 2023, 1:26 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Re: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

I have a put call in to friendly people at the Bank of Canada...
 That's very helpful -- thank you!
by Alan
March 29th, 2023, 2:20 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Re: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

Thanks. After some correspondence with a very helpful guy at the NY Fed, I've gotten some clarity on the issue. He didn't know for sure, but his guess was that "months mean months" and without regard to holidays, as these are hypothetical securities. Also, I am now sure that 1 Mo, 2 Mo, et...
by Alan
March 27th, 2023, 4:09 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Re: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

Thanks for all the answers so far. So, thinking about it some more, the Treasury has an email link for questions on the CMT par rates and I sent them these two questions: I have two questions regarding the interpretation of the {“1 Mo”, “2 Mo”, “3 Mo” and “4 Mo”} maturity headings.   Q1. Since these...
by Alan
March 22nd, 2023, 6:00 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Re: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

Thanks, David -- that's very helpful.   BTW, as a follow-up for you or anybody with access to a Bloomberg terminal (or similar).  If the vendor provides a set of spot rates (semi-annual compounding) computed from the  Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates  at any Date, I would much appreciate a scree...
by Alan
March 21st, 2023, 3:11 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Happy 1st International Day of Happiness
Replies: 15
Views: 8061

Re: Happy 1st International Day of Happiness

2023 World Happiness Report [ edit ] The 2023 World Happiness Report was a triannual analysis of 2020-2022, heavily influenced by COVID19 and other significant challenges. [24] For the 6th consecutive year, Finland was ranked on top, followed by Denmark, Iceland, Israel and the Netherlands. In the ...
by Alan
March 20th, 2023, 12:02 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"
Replies: 17
Views: 2042

Basic fixed income question: the meaning of "one month ahead"

As a fixed income novice, I am trying to wrap my head around the conversion of US Treasury par yield rates to spot rates (zero-coupon rates) using exact US market conventions.  Take the par yield curve here:  Resource Center | U.S. Department of the Treasury If you want to associate a maturity date ...
by Alan
March 15th, 2023, 2:47 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Stupid question of the day
Replies: 2986
Views: 295747

Re: Stupid question of the day

Thank you <3 William Gibson used it in Neuromancer, and his English has always felt so snobbish to me! Hmm. He is probably my favorite author, and more for his turn of phrase than the storylines. His language is certainly rich, but I don’t know that I quite get snobbish. I think he may have peaked ...
by Alan
February 25th, 2023, 3:38 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Random Republican WINGNUTS (or RRWs as they are affectionately known as)
Replies: 182
Views: 34968

Re: Random Republican WINGNUTS (or RRWs as they are affectionately known as)

This may be a mistake, as in it should probably be a new thread. But, anyway, the bleeding head Ron DeSantis, the very Trumpian governor of Florida, who is now trying to out-Trump Trump, is pushing a law that would ban Florida universities from teaching any courses with a curriculum based on theore...
by Alan
February 22nd, 2023, 2:38 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Equity styles for higher cross-sectional moments
Replies: 1
Views: 315

Re: Equity styles for higher cross-sectional moments

1. Why are the most successful (publicly offered) funds (in terms of long-term performance) low cost, cap-weighted index funds and *not* long-short funds? 2. Let's say "the bottom quartile will basically all go to zero". I suspect that will be due to failed clinical trials. If you could pr...
by Alan
February 14th, 2023, 4:18 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Alaska - Call of the Wild
Replies: 29
Views: 17848

Re: Alaska - Call of the Wild

Reports I've seen all say there were balloons involved, maybe metallic balloons. Fire enough bullets and the thing will start to descend, and eventually be low enough to grab it. Tom Cruise could do it. 
by Alan
February 12th, 2023, 8:36 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Alaska - Call of the Wild
Replies: 29
Views: 17848

Re: Alaska - Call of the Wild

Instead of shooting down these "objects" ...
retrieve.jpg
Mid-air retrieval
by Alan
February 5th, 2023, 9:56 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: RIP thread
Replies: 357
Views: 61732

Re: RIP thread

RIP -- one Chinese balloon