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by ElJorro
April 21st, 2010, 5:48 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: HVaR / Stressed VaR for Commodities
Replies: 1
Views: 29776

HVaR / Stressed VaR for Commodities

<t>Hi,Wondering here about the following:For proper HVaR and Stressed VaR calculations I need about 3 year of historical data. Imagine I have a position in June-10 WTI future. There is sufficient historical data for this future to calculate VaR, but the question is does this make sense? In general s...
by ElJorro
August 5th, 2004, 12:58 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: miniswap
Replies: 8
Views: 181448

miniswap

<t>The investor has indeed credit risk on ABN. De swap knocks out if the reference rate goes to far against him. The reference rate is a fixed maturity swap rate, p.e. 5y, so it's a bit like a CMS.Costs is the tricky part. Bid-offer is 5 bp, so roughly 5 times the spread of the swap market, and the ...
by ElJorro
April 15th, 2004, 12:43 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: please help
Replies: 2
Views: 190182

please help

you borrow another share (of the same company) and sell that one. Your cost is the borrowing cost for 5 years. The value of your discount is then 20 - NPV(borrowing cost).Alternative is to buy a very-deep-in-the-money put. Should give the same outcome.Cheers,
by ElJorro
April 14th, 2004, 11:17 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Equity default swap
Replies: 8
Views: 190749

Equity default swap

<t>An EDS is a one touch digital (usually at 30%). The payout is a fixed percentage, usually defined as notional minus a recovery rate of 50% (so 50%). The payout is defined this way to create an analogy with CDS's.The appropriate way to price this is as a knock in boxspread (to take account of the ...
by ElJorro
March 2nd, 2004, 7:11 am
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Lost in the forest
Replies: 19
Views: 193405

Lost in the forest

Hi ob,nice solution! Had to think about sin/cos and tan for the first time in 10 years again. Could barely find them on my calculator..Cheers,
by ElJorro
March 1st, 2004, 10:46 am
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Lost in the forest
Replies: 19
Views: 193405

Lost in the forest

Improvement to previous post:1) sqrt(2) miles northeast2) 1 mile west3) follow circle to most southern point4) continu 1 mile eastThis gives sqrt(2)+1+pi+1 = 6.56
by ElJorro
March 1st, 2004, 10:39 am
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Lost in the forest
Replies: 19
Views: 193405

Lost in the forest

<t>I think I have a solution that has a better worst case than Aaron's solution.Give the fact that the road is one mile away and the road is straight, we know that the road is orthogonal to a circle with radius 1 (otherwise some part of the road would be closer than one mile. Let's walk sqrt(2) mile...
by ElJorro
February 27th, 2004, 6:50 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: equity target redemption
Replies: 5
Views: 190364

equity target redemption

<t>If i would have to structure this i would tell the client it's much more convenient to only observe the target once very three months. Than i would price it as:1) 3m libor deposite2) barrier call on index with strike 100, barrier 120 and immediate rebate 20This gives a slight overpricing since i ...
by ElJorro
February 26th, 2004, 1:23 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: simple one - car
Replies: 19
Views: 191690

simple one - car

You would get 80 if the question was: a car drives 60 for 1 mile and than 120 for another mile.First mile takes 1 minute, second 30 sec. That's 2 miles in 1min30, that is 80 miles/hour
by ElJorro
February 26th, 2004, 12:48 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Derivatives Documentation
Replies: 1
Views: 189710

Derivatives Documentation

Does someone know a good course about derivatives documentation (ISDA, CSA, confirmations etc)? I know it is BORING, but i still need to know more about it.IFF used to have a good one, but they removed it from their program.Prefferably somewhere in London or Europe.Thanks
by ElJorro
December 10th, 2003, 3:02 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Roulette Arbitrage
Replies: 48
Views: 196658

Roulette Arbitrage

<t>Aaron,thanks for the last box comment. It confirms my believe that most black-jack players don't know sh*t about probability.This brings up another thing. The fact that most other players on a black-jack table play terrible strategies (remind I only play low stake tables, so together with other o...
by ElJorro
December 8th, 2003, 2:15 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Roulette Arbitrage
Replies: 48
Views: 196658

Roulette Arbitrage

So if I would refrase my question to: Does the behaviour of the player on the last box affect the odds for the other playerS, you agree with me that the answer is no?
by ElJorro
December 8th, 2003, 11:59 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Roulette Arbitrage
Replies: 48
Views: 196658

Roulette Arbitrage

<t>Aaron, very interessting read. I guess I'm the occasional recreational gambler. I always enter the casino with limits for loss and profit (my wife demands this otherwise she won't go and I think she's right). It's good to know that casino's lose money on custumors like me. That means that in term...
by ElJorro
November 14th, 2003, 10:15 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Dealing Room Sentences
Replies: 77
Views: 198371

Dealing Room Sentences

(Market is going skyhigh)Sales: What's happening?Trader: More buyers than sellers-----------------------Trader to Quant: How are you doing on this final differences modelSame Trader to same Quant: Is that project-orientated programming?
by ElJorro
October 3rd, 2003, 9:15 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Trading Cliquets on Single stocks and stock baskets
Replies: 3
Views: 190032

Trading Cliquets on Single stocks and stock baskets

The main worry with cliquet's is skew risk. I don't think this risk is fundamentally different for cliquet's on ESTX or single stocks