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by Oinker
May 26th, 2004, 12:50 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: MIT 21 (Blackjack) Team
Replies: 8
Views: 191169

MIT 21 (Blackjack) Team

<t>I'm with PunterGoop -- The Uston book is a great read and, without poo-pooing the MIT team (their P&L speaks for itself), the team has received a lot of notarity and much of it was due to marketing "in a hot market" for such stories. In my opinion, give the MIT kids an "A" for originality for...
by Oinker
May 26th, 2004, 11:37 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Simple Question on GARCH..!!!
Replies: 9
Views: 190534

Simple Question on GARCH..!!!

...exponentially weighting the time series will have a smooothing effect...
by Oinker
May 11th, 2004, 2:09 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Base correlations model (JP Morgan)
Replies: 5
Views: 190505

Base correlations model (JP Morgan)

monygel,Where can we find a copy of the paper you currently have?
by Oinker
May 9th, 2004, 2:34 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?
Replies: 6
Views: 190174

Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?

Thanks, Aaron!
by Oinker
May 8th, 2004, 6:37 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?
Replies: 6
Views: 190174

Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?

<t>... which leads us to vector error correction model. So am I correct in saying that, assuming said 'exogenous macro event of noteworthy repute' isn't a long-term, redefining regime change for the economy, the marketplace or more specifically for stock A or stock B, the true characteristics of tha...
by Oinker
May 8th, 2004, 4:08 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?
Replies: 6
Views: 190174

Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?

<t>I suggested higher implied correlations to infer that correlations are up across the board -- and I now realize this -- Let me start over by first noting that in my original post I made a typo: 'would "prolong"' should have been 'wouldn't "prolong"'.Redux:Pairs trades seem quite paraochial and su...
by Oinker
May 7th, 2004, 6:25 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?
Replies: 6
Views: 190174

Higher Implied Correlation a Problem For Pairs?

Does higher implied correlation in the indices generally "challenge" price-mean reverting equity pairs books? It seems that higher correlation would "prolong" the amount of time that stocks need to mean revert...
by Oinker
May 3rd, 2004, 11:07 am
Forum: Programming and Software Forum
Topic: error in excel slope function
Replies: 3
Views: 189695

error in excel slope function

<t>Laet night (5.2) I visited the MS Downloads site looking for upddates, patches, etc. and I vaguely remember downloaded something that acknowledged that Excel sometimes "sometimes gets it wrong" (No!....Really!?!) using SLOPE() and a few other regression like functions. Perhaps you are experiencei...
by Oinker
April 30th, 2004, 7:47 pm
Forum: Programming and Software Forum
Topic: .NET and Bloomberg
Replies: 14
Views: 200194

.NET and Bloomberg

OK.... It's been a couple of months -- Any updates/news on the VB.NET to Bloomberg API front? Any recent war stories? Thanks to all.
by Oinker
November 25th, 2003, 12:00 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Collar built with Calls vs with Puts, P-C Parity Question
Replies: 3
Views: 189718

Collar built with Calls vs with Puts, P-C Parity Question

This is a question for the General board.Get a basic option pricing textboook like Natenberg and review the basics of the differences between Calls and Puts, then call verticals and put verticals, then reversals and conversions...'Gotta know the plain vanilla stuff...
by Oinker
October 22nd, 2003, 9:25 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: A hedging question
Replies: 3
Views: 189986

A hedging question

<t>Those were my thoughts, too... I suggested that since the correlation trade would not be "perfect" to the book, owning some SPX premo (I suggested staying in the front two months) was the way to go -- Such a hedge is just as "imperfect" as the dispersion trade, considerably more efficient and kee...
by Oinker
October 21st, 2003, 5:20 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: A hedging question
Replies: 3
Views: 189986

A hedging question

<t>Recently I was looking at the P&L performance of a large pairs book. At first glance, the book's P&L was "mostly L" during periods of increased volatility. Further inspection, however, seemed to show that the culprit was really increased index correlation (SPX correlation -- most of the b...
by Oinker
October 21st, 2003, 5:10 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: A hedging question
Replies: 0
Views: 189341

A hedging question

by Oinker
September 12th, 2003, 9:30 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Is this a violation?
Replies: 11
Views: 191015

Is this a violation?

<t>You entered an order that was for less than 5 contracts -- that's most likely the reason your order was treated as such.In general, an options specialist/DPM/LMM, etc. "may, but is not obligated" to post your order at your limit if it is under a certain number of contracts. (This is because he mu...
by Oinker
September 9th, 2003, 8:53 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: EWMA correlation calculations
Replies: 0
Views: 189674

EWMA correlation calculations

<t>In estimating the 60 day EWMA of the correlations of pairs of large cap US stocks, what value lambda is suggested? How about if one shortened the period to 20 days? To date all that I've come up with is "'keep it between .80 and .97"...All of the literature I've read refers to lambda only in the ...