<t>interested as always in the collective wisdom of the forum. is there a useful econ derivative contract that contemplates the future privatisation of social security? people have suggested a simple yes/no with yearly expirations, i.e. will s.s. in some way be privatised, but is there something mor...

<t>this isn't a technical comment on your assumptions, but a practical one--you assume a different interest rate on your debit/credit spread because you're long a hard to borrow...you are not likely receive interest as the holder of HTB stock paying negative rebates unless you're a unique client at ...

re: SSF liquidity, DELL F5 is 40.59/64 with spot at 40.60, 50x100 (5000 sharesx10,000 shares)...pretty typical of most contracts...EBAY F5 is 10 wide, 10 up. the EFP mkt is obviously as deep as you want, and there is block liquidity out there but you have to ask

<t>FYI, Tradesports and Intrade share a liquidity pool, so keep that in mind. Intrade simply carries the contracts that would in theory fall under CFMA 2000 (extrapolate and the future reasoning should be obvious.) farmer makes a good point re: liquidity, but in any case, deeper institutional market...

i am very familiar with them, but an appropriate description is not suitable to a public forum. pm if your are interested in detailed feedback.

<t>i've been trading these products for a while now, and assure you that the only two relevant factors are the long/short rates and dividends. i've seen a bunch of people attempt to pick off bad dividend views, whereas the transaction costs associated with the futures eat up any real distinguishable...

<t>drunken stupor or not, i received a call last night from a friend in the commercial plumbing business stateside...he's bidding on a 1 year job, and wanted my futures expertise re: how to hedge his materials pricing risk so as not to build too high a variance into his quote...he basically said tha...

I know the Chicago Climate Exchange is supposed to launch soon, but can't say I'm familiar with the pricing models for emissions. I'd give the CCX a call, as I'm sure they can help.

<t>depends what you're after. EFPs are also being done for a variety of equity financing purposes using USFs and SSFs. in contrast to many other markets (including, as FDAX mentioned, FX), these are non-transitory EFPs, meaning the cash leg of the deal can't be scribbled on note paper and stuffed in...

ask joe o'neill or jack sabo--both still there i believe in one form or another

<t>a relatively unsophisticated version of econ derivatives trades for the retail side on tradesports. their version indexes economic events on a 0-100 scale, with the future settlement values indicative of whether the given contract event has occurred or has not occurred--a model obviously construc...

<t>for conspiracy theorists...TGN, small canadian firm with interests in grid architecture/distributed power generation, trades on LSE, ADV 400k shares, trades 4mm and 8mm shares over last two days, up 48% yesterday and today ahead of marginal news. CHLD-LN is another funny mover. usual post-facto b...

<t>to make no mention of the fact that the spectrum of contracts offered reflect the political bent of the exchange operator (a future on the assassination of arafat, sure, but of sharon or bush, i think not...). opinion futures with some identifiable underlying economic value (there was some report...

<t>Speaking as a former pit broker, the effect of locals running stops varies by product, pit and local population. In most all pits, stops are effectively a form of currency used by paper brokers to mitigate execution risk--e.g. favors doled out to locals who help them out of errors, willingly repr...