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by vesel
September 11th, 2007, 8:06 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Margin lending
Replies: 3
Views: 65756

Margin lending

<t>In my view, the quality of questions and comments on this website has really collapsed over the last few months. Levels of stupidity seem to have gradually grown, repelling anyone with even half a brain, until now 99% of what is said is just drivel. Nothing left here but morons answering moronic ...
by vesel
August 31st, 2007, 1:12 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Gold Lease Rate
Replies: 14
Views: 127087

Gold Lease Rate

<r>the fund i mentioned below has officially wound up. S&P called it a "change in investment strategy". Ha!Would be intrigued to hear from any commodity traders on how this fund could of got so wacked over. Someone clearly figured out their 'arb' and KO'd them within a few weeks. NAV chart here ...
by vesel
June 29th, 2007, 2:40 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Could someone give some help about forecasting the beta of stocks?
Replies: 13
Views: 72061

Could someone give some help about forecasting the beta of stocks?

type this into excel, and you'll get as good an estimate as is possible=NORMINV(RAND(),1,0.25)
by vesel
May 22nd, 2007, 8:06 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Gold Lease Rate
Replies: 14
Views: 127087

Gold Lease Rate

<r>This manager (<URL url="http://www.goldlinkcapital.com.au">www.goldlinkcapital.com.au</URL>) runs this fund (<URL url="http://www.incomeplus.com.au">www.incomeplus.com.au</URL>) using a gold lease rate arb strategy. BAck 5 years ago they were making consistently good returns...though judging from...
by vesel
April 3rd, 2007, 3:31 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: subprime risks
Replies: 4
Views: 75690

subprime risks

Thanks for that. Good article.Any CDO sales people here that can comment?
by vesel
April 3rd, 2007, 1:11 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: subprime risks
Replies: 4
Views: 75690

subprime risks

<t>Credit isnt my area, but id be interested in any comments on this:When subprimes default, who is it that takes the hit?I presume its the equity tranche of a RMB CDO that is the worst hit.Questions:1. Who is the biggest class of investor in these things? (insurers, pension funds, hedge funds??)2. ...
by vesel
February 20th, 2007, 12:13 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Optimal investment problems
Replies: 11
Views: 80206

Optimal investment problems

“An economist is someone who knows more about money than the people who have it”.Utility 'theory' illustrates this point perfectly.
by vesel
January 29th, 2007, 9:44 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Mathematician Gifts
Replies: 19
Views: 83458

Mathematician Gifts

<r>What about math lectures on DVD.You can choose lectures from this list:<URL url="http://www.msri.org/communications/vmath/index_htmlOr">http://www.msri.org/communications/vmath/index_htmlOr</URL> if you dont know which particular branch of maths he's interested in, pick a Special discussion topic...
by vesel
October 25th, 2006, 8:50 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Portable alpha?
Replies: 7
Views: 90844

Portable alpha?

I hate to say it Nik, but you should just stick to stock-picking otherwise your small investment company may get even smaller.Take the time to learn about portable alpha properly (not from some chat room), then decide whether to implement it. Think of your investors.
by vesel
August 15th, 2006, 8:23 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Correlation of implied volatilities
Replies: 10
Views: 96529

Correlation of implied volatilities

<t>Jungix;A few things:1. In your first post, you say you got a correl in vol of 15%. In your second post its 50%. Which is it?2. A 15% correl in implied vol is indeed low if returns have an 80% correl. Its either option market specific, or the return correl is spurious. Which stocks are they btw?3....
by vesel
August 11th, 2006, 5:33 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: amazing book
Replies: 0
Views: 95325

amazing book

one of the most interesting quant books ive read in ages....Born on a Blue Day
by vesel
August 8th, 2006, 1:23 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: replicating multi-index put
Replies: 0
Views: 95907

replicating multi-index put

Does anyone know of some good papers specifically dealing with replicating or pricing a multi-index put, where the payoff is linked to the worst performing asset out of a goup of assets ie max[X-min(s1,s2,s3,...)] ?
by vesel
July 31st, 2006, 2:17 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Connection between optimal stopping and free boundary problem
Replies: 4
Views: 97075

Connection between optimal stopping and free boundary problem

<t>Your assumption of negative interest rates violates first principals, so its no surprise you cant solve it using variational inequalities. Negative rates would mean negative stock price which would obviously never be in the exercise region.What is surprising is that you say it can be solved using...
by vesel
June 20th, 2006, 9:35 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: pairs trading
Replies: 37
Views: 119069

pairs trading

<t>If you are just vega neutral, any profits will be a function of both chnages in vol and index. You therefore need to delta hedge to remove the effect of index changes leaving you as a result exposed just to vol changes. Using straddles, because they're ATM, have higher gamma, so it will mean reba...