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by MForde
February 15th, 2006, 2:58 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Magic distribution
Replies: 2
Views: 118910

Magic distribution

does anyone know of a distribution for a random variable X which is non-negative, has 4 parameters to control its shape/moments, and for which the mgf is known in closed form?Also, anyone much experience with generalized lambda distNs?thx,M
by MForde
February 14th, 2006, 4:38 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: SABR model rho=0, no local vol
Replies: 4
Views: 119997

SABR model rho=0, no local vol

for the SABR modeldS=S y dW1dy=y alpha dW2dW1dW2=0,does anyone know how to prove that S is a martingale + whether S is U.I.?The pth moment of S_T is infinite for p>1, + any T>0thx
by MForde
December 14th, 2005, 2:22 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: running the heat equation backward
Replies: 54
Views: 133195

running the heat equation backward

<t>isn't this related to Andersen+Piterbarg's work on Moment explosions?e.g. under an uncorrelated local-stoc vol modelwhere is the eigenfunction associated with the local vol component, so the highest moment of the exponential integrated variance that is finite is governed by the highest eigenfunct...
by MForde
December 2nd, 2005, 3:32 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Does the short term smile vanish in SV models?
Replies: 7
Views: 129570

Does the short term smile vanish in SV models?

sorry, 1/d_x = E(sigma_T^2 | S_T=K= S0 exp(-x) =Dupire effective local voland Implied vol I(K) = x/d(x,y)
by MForde
December 2nd, 2005, 3:05 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Does the short term smile vanish in SV models?
Replies: 7
Views: 129570

Does the short term smile vanish in SV models?

<t>in PC's toy modeldX=y dW_1dY= dW_2the relevant geodesic equation isy^2 d_x^2+ d_y^2 =1subject to d(x=0, y)=0d>=0where d_x is be the Dupire 96 effective local vol (x=lnS/K). Don't know off top of my head what the solution to this is, but under Hestonthe smile certainly isn't flat in short -maturit...
by MForde
November 28th, 2005, 10:08 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: static hedge
Replies: 10
Views: 130075

static hedge

<t>sorry, I mean a contract paying sin S_T at T, which u could further decompose into Europeansusing the result that a general European payoff can be replicated with an infinite strip of OTM calls and puts, which is discussed inCM98 "Towards a theory of volatility trading" m is the speed measure =2/...
by MForde
November 28th, 2005, 8:59 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: static hedge
Replies: 10
Views: 130075

static hedge

<t>u could think about spectral static hedging:e.g. Suppose we have stock price which follows standard Brownian motion starting at W_0 0<W_0<Pi, and we have a double knock out (DKO) call with terminal payoff sin(W_T), which also knocks out at x=0 or x=Pi. Then the price of the contract at time t<T i...
by MForde
November 25th, 2005, 4:50 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: The characteristic function in Heston SV model
Replies: 13
Views: 134181

The characteristic function in Heston SV model

thx Alan; I've got the Lukacs book here if anyone needs me to quote from it
by MForde
November 24th, 2005, 4:19 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: butterfly and risk reversal
Replies: 7
Views: 136190

butterfly and risk reversal

<r>simplest way is to calibrate a mixture model where vol can go up or down to two different known levels, to ATMs, 25d and 10d flies, and solve for ProbUp and the 2 volsu could extend this to vol going to n different levels, + solve for the n-1 probabilities as the solution to a linear eq Ax=b if u...
by MForde
November 24th, 2005, 1:12 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: The characteristic function in Heston SV model
Replies: 13
Views: 134181

The characteristic function in Heston SV model

sorry meant meanreversion> volofvol
by MForde
November 24th, 2005, 1:12 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: The characteristic function in Heston SV model
Replies: 13
Views: 134181

The characteristic function in Heston SV model

<t>yeah, read the attached, there's a pole in the complex planeif u set meanreversion<volofvol, then S_T will have finite 2nd moment for all T; they give an exact formula for computing the explosion timewhich will be exactly one of the solutions where your log blows upThe highest moment that is fini...
by MForde
November 23rd, 2005, 1:20 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Reading Volatility for Barriers off Vanilla Surface
Replies: 2
Views: 129452

Reading Volatility for Barriers off Vanilla Surface

<t>If u've got the stones for it, use the theory of Large deviations:for a time-homogenous local vol model, u could use the vskew idea in the short-maturity limit to derive the implied vol of e.g. a One-Touch barrier optionLet S_t=g(W_t) where g is contrived so that S hits the smile at Tthen Priceof...
by MForde
November 22nd, 2005, 4:36 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: fader option
Replies: 8
Views: 133708

fader option

<t>for a fader that pays(S_T-K)^{+} I_Twhere dS=S sigma(S,t) dt dI = H(S_T-B) dti.e. call payoff times #days spot spends above B<Kwe can derive a Dupire fwd eq under local vol framework:d (S_T-K)^{+} I_T = H(S_T-K) I_T dS_T + 1/2 dirac(S_T-K) dS_T^2 + (S_T-K)^{+} H(S_T-B) dTso dFader/dT= 1/2 K^2 sig...
by MForde
October 24th, 2005, 8:26 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Multiplicity two spectrum
Replies: 0
Views: 131724

Multiplicity two spectrum

Does anyone know what a "multiplicity two" spectrum is, if so, could they give an example?thx