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by caperover
August 3rd, 2022, 5:31 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: DV01 of Treasury Futures
Replies: 2
Views: 6032

Re: DV01 of Treasury Futures

Never mind. I found  the answer.
by caperover
August 2nd, 2022, 3:41 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: DV01 of Treasury Futures
Replies: 2
Views: 6032

DV01 of Treasury Futures

Treasury Futures are often used to hedge interest rate risks. Given CtD, a Treasury Futures contract's DV01 is approximately       DV01 of Treasury Futures = DV01 of CtD x Conversion Factor and thus     Duration of Treasury Futures = Duration of CtD However, when I estimate the duration by the ratio...
by caperover
October 7th, 2019, 5:39 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Inflation cap/floor expiry time
Replies: 5
Views: 7944

Re: Inflation cap/floor expiry time

Thank you both for your suggestions. The time to expiry is used only for the purpose of implied vol. As Pcaspers pointed out, as long as it meets the minimum requirements and makes sense, the actual convention does not matter too much. Thanks again.
by caperover
September 30th, 2019, 3:38 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Inflation cap/floor expiry time
Replies: 5
Views: 7944

Re: Inflation cap/floor expiry time

Thanks for your reply. I have been trying many different ways, but that does not seem to be what is used in practice. For example, assume the curve date is 4/15/2019, the last publication date is 3/11/2019, the last fixing date is 2/1/2019, the option payment date is 4/17/2020 with corresponding fix...
by caperover
September 27th, 2019, 1:29 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Inflation cap/floor expiry time
Replies: 5
Views: 7944

Inflation cap/floor expiry time

An inflation cap/floor involves fixing date, publication date, payment date, etc. In order to calculate the implied volatility assuming either a Black or Normal model, what is the right way to calculate the expiry time, for example, in Bloomberg? Thanks!
by caperover
April 8th, 2019, 4:48 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Questions on Inflation Modeling
Replies: 3
Views: 8321

Re: Questions on Inflation Modeling

Another questions is what to if the valuation date t is between observation date and publishing date, i.e. corresponding index observation date is in the past but it has not been published yet.
by caperover
April 5th, 2019, 6:42 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Zvspread for a callable bond
Replies: 2
Views: 6083

Re: Zvspread for a callable bond

You should base it on the zv option exercise. There can be lots of intrinsic value to an option. Only the time value is eliminated when you turn off volatility.
Good point! Thanks
by caperover
April 5th, 2019, 1:53 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Zvspread for a callable bond
Replies: 2
Views: 6083

Zvspread for a callable bond

When calculating zvspread for a callable bond, should we use schedueld cash flows of the underlying bond or project cash flows based on estimated option exercise according to the zero volatility curve? In theory, option cost should 0 when the volatility is 0. Thanks.
by caperover
April 4th, 2019, 7:30 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Questions on Inflation Modeling
Replies: 3
Views: 8321

Questions on Inflation Modeling

An inflation price index is usually published with an observation lag of 2 or 3 months. Thus, payments are typically delayed by 2~3 months, which requires convexity adjustment. However, most documents on inflation modelling or textbooks do not consider this payment lag at all, but rather assume infl...
by caperover
August 2nd, 2018, 1:31 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Does Cov(X,I{Y>K}) = Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f_Y(K) hold in general?
Replies: 4
Views: 4541

Re: Does Cov(X,I{Y>K}) = Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f_Y(K) hold in general?

Cov(X,I{Y>K}) =E[X*I{Y>K}]-E[X]E[I{Y>K}] =(E[X|Y>K]-E[X])P(Y>K) The RHS does not seem meaningful in a general cocntext Cov(X,Y|Y=K)fY(K)=(E[X|Y=K]-E[X|Y=K])KdP(Y>K)/dK = 0? This does not seems correct either, since we know  Integal(Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f Y (K)dK) != 0 I am confused by the conditional covaria...
by caperover
August 1st, 2018, 9:12 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Does Cov(X,I{Y>K}) = Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f_Y(K) hold in general?
Replies: 4
Views: 4541

Does Cov(X,I{Y>K}) = Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f_Y(K) hold in general?

I am having difficulty figuring out whether Cov(X,I {Y>K} ) = Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f Y (K) holds in general or is only valid under certain circumstance. we know that in an integral form Cov(X,Y) = integral (Cov(X,I {Y>K} )dK) and Cov(X,Y) = Integal(Cov(X,Y|Y=K)f Y (K)dK) then, does  Cov(X,I {Y>K} ) = Cov(X,...
by caperover
December 9th, 2017, 10:02 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low
Replies: 14
Views: 3168

Re: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low

The problem was in skew calibration. Now everything seems fine, reasonably accurate with known bias. Gatarek, thank you very much for your help!
by caperover
December 8th, 2017, 7:15 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low
Replies: 14
Views: 3168

Re: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low

If I calibrate to only swaptions expiring in 25Y and 30Y, the calibration errors are still quite large. This implies that the swaption approximation formula does not work well for 25Y and 30Y swaptions.Mostly the model implied vols are more than 1% lower than market vols.
by caperover
December 6th, 2017, 4:31 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low
Replies: 14
Views: 3168

Re: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low

Bootstrap is OK.
Yes,but I have some problem with 20y and 30y. For some reason, resultant Libor vols for those two expirations are biased torward 0 and quite volatile along swap maturity as well. There must be something going on.
by caperover
December 6th, 2017, 2:15 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low
Replies: 14
Views: 3168

Re: LMM model implied swaption vol is too low

If you want a linear formula for volatility, you must take  https://www.risk.net/derivatives/interest-rate-derivatives/1500291/fully-lognormal-libor-market-model This not so tough to implement although looks horrible. You may go nonlinear as in the original paper but it doesn't give much improvemen...
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