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by klassen
September 26th, 2018, 5:50 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Pot is hot: Tilray (TLRY) borrows edition
Replies: 1
Views: 4817

Pot is hot: Tilray (TLRY) borrows edition

I haven’t seen any discussion of cannabis stocks or ETFs here, even though we all know that weed is the new crypto now… Well, for a few more details, take a look here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/pot-hot-having-fun-tlry-options-borrows-timothy-klassen/ TLRY options might well have set a new reco...
by klassen
August 3rd, 2018, 2:57 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: And now for some fun with implied densities… (or, the coming Tesla crash?)
Replies: 18
Views: 19686

Re: And now for some fun with implied densities… (or, the coming Tesla crash?)

Thanks, Alan. To be sure, in our approach the implied density is derived from the fitted parametric vol curve rather than being the primary object to be calibrated. And in practice it is a rather tricky problem to try to detect a mass at 0, i.e. a non-zero probability of default p0, in the detailed ...
by klassen
August 1st, 2018, 7:00 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: And now for some fun with implied densities… (or, the coming Tesla crash?)
Replies: 18
Views: 19686

And now for some fun with implied densities… (or, the coming Tesla crash?)

As you know, not just many quants, but also the Fed and ECB love playing with options-implied densities, for what they might reveal about future underlier evolution (and various other reasons). So take a look at this: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/options-implied-probability-tesla-crash-january-202...
by klassen
August 14th, 2017, 2:55 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: On fitting SSVI model and calculating local vols
Replies: 3
Views: 1970

Re: On fitting SSVI model and calculating local vols

More specifically, a pretty exhaustive discussion of the SSVI/S3 curve — as a per-term CURVE, not as a surface model with some particular choice of the parametrization of the term-structure of the curve parameters — can be found here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2725700 It's ...
by klassen
February 3rd, 2016, 2:57 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Exact no-arbitrage conditions for SSVI / S3 vol curve
Replies: 0
Views: 1917

Exact no-arbitrage conditions for SSVI / S3 vol curve

<r>There has been some discussion of SVI and SSVI here, so this might be of interest:<URL url="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2725700It"><LINK_TEXT text="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm? ... =2725700It">http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2725700It</LINK_TEX...