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by DavidJN
August 5th, 2025, 12:25 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: The Price of eggs
Replies: 99
Views: 9228

Re: The Price of eggs

Statistics is the creative arts of rulers! https://trends.ufm.edu/en/article/tax-b ... ns-paradox Stratifying data by income often yields insights, as anyone who has ever tried their hand at mortgage prepayment or more recently home equity release longevity modeling will know. The analysis seems va...
by DavidJN
June 12th, 2025, 2:52 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump - the second first 100 days
Replies: 313
Views: 20986

Re: Trump - the second first 100 days

Something different this time around is that during Trump 1.0 the US military regularly and forcefully stated that they would not obey illegal orders whenever the rapist/felon/seditionist launched his trial balloon ideas of setting the military against US citizens on US soil. I cannot say I am liste...
by DavidJN
May 27th, 2025, 1:50 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump - the second first 100 days
Replies: 313
Views: 20986

Re: Trump - the second first 100 days

This just in…. the Trump Department of Uneducation has just proclaimed that all US public school students will be required to memorize and recite the lyrics of the Shaker hymn “Tis the Gift to be simple.” Oddly admired for their crude furniture, the Shaker movement died out, perhaps not surprisingly...
by DavidJN
April 24th, 2025, 3:10 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: DB quant hiring
Replies: 6
Views: 868

Re: DB quant hiring

Many financial institutions have outsourced internal service departments (e.g. accounting and HR) in search of higher profits. Poor service is unfortunately now the norm. Get used to it. And, trying to provide some free and frank advice here, you are being somewhat indiscreet in a business and in pa...
by DavidJN
April 9th, 2025, 3:20 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: VAT
Replies: 30
Views: 12314

Re: VAT

I'm going out on a limb here, but is this a reference to tariffs? Do you know how much paperwork is involved (for all parties)? Does the tariff go around in circles like VAT? Paul, drawing from ideas in the tax shifting literature, if you were asking is there a difference between the incidence and ...
by DavidJN
March 6th, 2025, 5:09 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: The Price of eggs
Replies: 99
Views: 9228

Re: The Price of eggs

"But it's been eighty years since then. Where are the thorium reactors? Even fusion seems to be making more respectable progress, at least in the last several years." Very true. I could be mistaken but I think the historical reason there are no thorium reactors is that they are not or at ...
by DavidJN
March 6th, 2025, 4:56 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Real Options and Investment under Uncertainty: the AI Connection
Replies: 191
Views: 16544

Re: Real Options and Investment under Uncertainty: the AI Connection

For the betting person, capitalism’s imitative herd mentality brings with it a predictable tendency to overdo new things, creating a steady stream of opportunities to make money during both early valuation runups followed by near inevitable rationalizations. Internet hype and what I see as increasin...
by DavidJN
February 3rd, 2025, 9:51 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump - the second first 100 days
Replies: 313
Views: 20986

Re: Trump - the second first 100 days

If you’ll pardon the pun, Canada has only one trump card in its pocket. More specifically, the Ontario Premier Doug Ford, who has just called a snap early election despite he and his party being under criminal investigation, holds a stop button on certain electricity and oil exports to the US. Ohio ...
by DavidJN
January 9th, 2025, 4:32 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Syria
Replies: 25
Views: 2860

Re: Syria

The best way to rid Syria of Assad’s odour is not to arbitrarily murder his associates, but to publicly try them for their crimes. Given they currently have no meaningful rule of law, a practical way to do this in the short run might be something like a temporary single purpose court established in ...
by DavidJN
November 17th, 2024, 5:16 pm
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: a review of market efficiency theories
Replies: 14
Views: 8031

Re: a review of market efficiency theories

Chicago’s Eugene Fama once said at a conference that disbelievers in market efficiency are criminals. As far as I can tell, however, he was honest in the sense that he didn’t fudge his research like his more influential colleagues Friedman and Stigler.
by DavidJN
September 3rd, 2024, 3:33 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: What is Starmerism?
Replies: 185
Views: 10976

Re: What is Starmerism?

by DavidJN
August 3rd, 2024, 3:16 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Trump -- the last 100 days
Replies: 4511
Views: 505727

Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

 Who gets the Golden Showers if Trump returns? Easy question. Almost everyone gets it, since Trickle Down theory is far more accurately described as Tinkle Upon theory.
by DavidJN
July 6th, 2024, 1:06 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Biden and Harris - the first 100 days
Replies: 361
Views: 90841

Re: Biden and Harris - the first 100 days

The mental and moral corruption of the SCOTUS notwithstanding, their highly unprofessional carte blanche gift to the wannabe dictator may turn out to be unusable, a blindgänger. On more than one occasion, the US military stated in very clear terms to then-POTUS Trump that it will not obey illegal or...
by DavidJN
June 19th, 2024, 8:45 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: UK and the EU: In or out?
Replies: 2004
Views: 266312

Re: UK and the EU: In or out?

Canada inherited this same governance defect, one that nearly destroyed the country in the 1990s when French-speaking Quebec separatists literally cheated but fortunately failed to get over the 50% + 1 barrier in a tainted independence referendum.