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by Structurer
February 6th, 2014, 6:10 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Interactive Broker historical prices - dividend adjustment
Replies: 2
Views: 7451

Interactive Broker historical prices - dividend adjustment

I just checked one year's of bars for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) that I imported from IB and compared them against Yahoo's data.It does not appear that IB makes any adjustments for the dividends that were paid.
by Structurer
January 28th, 2010, 9:53 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Forward Curve Construction
Replies: 10
Views: 197869

Forward Curve Construction

Fincad article
by Structurer
April 6th, 2009, 10:16 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Formula to calculate implied default rates for a bond?
Replies: 24
Views: 69467

Formula to calculate implied default rates for a bond?

<t>Not easy to calculate the risk premium component. I did something around eight or nine years ago, using KMV 5y empirical default probabilities to calibrate to market spreads, using a market price of risk term as the free parameter. It is interesting to note that this premium can go negative when ...
by Structurer
April 6th, 2009, 7:44 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Cliquets
Replies: 7
Views: 42526

Cliquets

<t>By recollection, I believe Paul was describing in his book an exotic where gamma changes sign. As you change volatility, therefore, the net change to the value of the option can look quite small. Using an "uncertainty" model, you specificy a vol range (e.g. 20-30%) and then use finite difference ...
by Structurer
April 3rd, 2009, 8:46 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Formula to calculate implied default rates for a bond?
Replies: 24
Views: 69467

Formula to calculate implied default rates for a bond?

<t>QuoteDoes that mean the market implies that there is a 10.35% chance that underlying bond(s) will default ?No. It means that if was the spread for a corporate (i.e. not a basket of credits), then there is a 10.35% risk neutral probability that it will default if you assumed a 40% recovery rate.1)...
by Structurer
January 20th, 2009, 3:56 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Spread on collateralized AAA bonds
Replies: 6
Views: 45655

Spread on collateralized AAA bonds

<t>Most likely a combination of factors, but difficult to say without knowing more about the security in question. I would say it is both taking the risk of credit losses (i.e. there is some systemic credit risk priced in) together with a liquidity premium required to sell a complex, illiquid asset ...
by Structurer
December 30th, 2008, 11:41 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Implications of Quantitative Easing
Replies: 3
Views: 45782

Implications of Quantitative Easing

<t>I have been asking about this point as well. Given the collapse of the equity markets and the drop in yields, pension deficits should be exploding. There is a recent FT Article on this subject."Since January, global pension plan assets have plummeted by $4,000bn (£2,680bn, €3,026bn), according to...
by Structurer
December 24th, 2008, 9:46 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: P&L of a zero coupon bond
Replies: 4
Views: 46852

P&L of a zero coupon bond

<t>LTCM was a carry trade.When you borrow to finance a trade, you are leveraged and exposed to the risk of insolvency. If rates go up, the value of your zero coupon bond plummets but the amount of your debt stays the same. Assuming the zero coupon bonds were the collateral for the loan, the broker w...
by Structurer
December 22nd, 2008, 12:40 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: How can I calculate the 1Y CDs spread from the 5Y cds spread?
Replies: 12
Views: 50940

How can I calculate the 1Y CDs spread from the 5Y cds spread?

Nope. Most upfront payment structures require an initial payment and then a risky annuity (e.g. 500 bp per annum). Again, you need a curve to discount this annuity stream and you only have one point at the 5y.
by Structurer
December 22nd, 2008, 10:09 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: How can I calculate the 1Y CDs spread from the 5Y cds spread?
Replies: 12
Views: 50940

How can I calculate the 1Y CDs spread from the 5Y cds spread?

<t>The question is like asking someone how to get the one year interest rate given that you know the yield on a 5 year bond. You don't have enough information.However... Given that the 5y is 3750 mid, I would surmise the curve is inverted (i.e. the short end implies a higher default probability than...
by Structurer
October 9th, 2008, 6:50 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Pricing CDOs with counterparty risk
Replies: 7
Views: 49844

Pricing CDOs with counterparty risk

aren't you trading under a collateralised ISDA?
by Structurer
October 6th, 2008, 9:34 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Based on my Math background, what asset class should I trade?
Replies: 5
Views: 49892

Based on my Math background, what asset class should I trade?

"When Professors Scholes and Merton and I invested in warrants, Professor Merton lost the most money. And I lost the least." ---Fischer Black (1938--1995)
by Structurer
September 16th, 2008, 10:36 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: cash price for high yield synthetic CDO
Replies: 4
Views: 50219

cash price for high yield synthetic CDO

Have a look at this thread.
by Structurer
March 21st, 2008, 1:14 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Calculating Discount Factors from a Fixed Swap Rate?
Replies: 8
Views: 74300

Calculating Discount Factors from a Fixed Swap Rate?

For semi-annual compounding, the 3 year discount factor would be DF(3)=1/(1+3.724%/2)^(3*2) = 0.89521.As daveangel says, you cannot determine rates for periods in between without knowing the swap rates for the shorter tenors.
by Structurer
March 7th, 2008, 5:06 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Algoritmic trading strategies are unsustainable?
Replies: 31
Views: 69046

Algoritmic trading strategies are unsustainable?

<t>"You're walking around blind without a cane, pal. A fool and his money are lucky enough to get together in the first place. " Gordon Gekko, Wall StreetEthics aside, innovation is the seed of capitalism. You can't test a strategy without trading it, and you can't trade it without having someone fr...
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