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by merx
February 8th, 2008, 4:12 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Rare Events & (Re)insurance Profitability
Replies: 4
Views: 59396

Rare Events & (Re)insurance Profitability

<t>"The interesting consequence of this were that (re)insurersreally would best be understood as giant leveraged hedge funds"I think i read somewhere that this is the reason Buffet bought insurance companies (to invest the premium in stocks). In the US i'm pretty sure you cant invest insurance premi...
by merx
January 28th, 2008, 1:01 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance
Replies: 8
Views: 60331

Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance

<t>Paul,I certainly don't use "academic" pejoratively. I mean such questions are usually battered about in Finance/Econ departments. For instance: Are larger banking systems good? I would say this is an academic question insofar as it interests academics, however there may not be a direct way to mak...
by merx
January 27th, 2008, 10:00 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance
Replies: 8
Views: 60331

Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance

<t>"one side may be dynamically hedging with the underlying" - but now you are trading in the underlying. The question is whether trading in the derviative is zero sum. Moreover, they "may" be dynamically hedging.Trading derivatives is zero sum. For every dollar my swap/option/etc goes up someone el...
by merx
January 26th, 2008, 3:41 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance
Replies: 8
Views: 60331

Questions on the Economics of Quant Finance

"Much of the press about derivatives repeats the tautology that they are a zero sum game."Watch Lou Dobbs for five minutes. He would have you believe derivatives are things that live under bridges and and eat old ladies on their way to church.
by merx
January 26th, 2008, 3:28 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: convention for volatility in equity option market
Replies: 4
Views: 61401

convention for volatility in equity option market

"I guess really what I am asking for is in data feeds like bloomberg, what is the mechanism by which you extract the volatility for a specific equity option to plug into B-S formula? "For each stock Bloomberg will have historical vol (I think its over the past 100 days).
by merx
January 5th, 2008, 2:15 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Overheating and inflation
Replies: 5
Views: 60404

Overheating and inflation

<t>"they should notch up the rates, which would slow them and curb the inflation at the same time. they can also let their currency appreciate to Dollar, which would achive [somewhat] similar effect"Under fixed exchange rates no autonomous monetary policy is possible (Mundell-Fleming model). This is...
by merx
January 2nd, 2008, 10:56 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Stock price vs. Book value
Replies: 29
Views: 64022

Stock price vs. Book value

I just looked at yahoo finance and they now list AMZN's book value per share as 1.834 and so P/B is 50.51.Well done ladies and gentlemen.
by merx
January 2nd, 2008, 1:53 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Stock price vs. Book value
Replies: 29
Views: 64022

Stock price vs. Book value

<t>Book value can also be misleading with regards to tangible fixed assets. Assets values are carried on the books at historical cost (what the firm paid for the assets). So the assets of a railroad, or any other company that bought large amounts of land a long time ago, are likely to be severly und...
by merx
December 16th, 2007, 3:31 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Stochastic Volatility Modelling for a Complete Beginner
Replies: 7
Views: 61827

Stochastic Volatility Modelling for a Complete Beginner

<t>If you want to estimate GARCH parameters, the statistical software you use will have documentation. If you use R, look in the documentation for the tseries and fSeries packages. These packages allow you to estimate GARCH(p,q) models, however they do not allow you to estimate Multivariate GARCH (m...
by merx
December 6th, 2007, 4:34 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: will the subprime plan work, what's your thoughts?
Replies: 27
Views: 64005

will the subprime plan work, what's your thoughts?

I'm not a fan of any sort of government involvement in this mess, however if there must be some sort of intervention I think the plan announced today should be sufficiently ineffectual.If the gov't wants to help, it should make "Manias, Panics, and Crashes" recommended reading. That is all.
by merx
December 6th, 2007, 3:19 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Relationship-Std Dev of Returns & Mkt Cap?
Replies: 5
Views: 61555

Relationship-Std Dev of Returns & Mkt Cap?

<t>Yes, in general firm returns (and by extension the standard deviation of returns) are correlated with firm market value. In a given data set you are likely to find that the lower the firm's size, the higher the standard deviation of returns. This is why in any given empirical investigation of fir...
by merx
November 14th, 2007, 2:53 am
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: For Mathematics....
Replies: 6
Views: 64111

For Mathematics....

<t>Are your series something like stock data? If so we can assume, given the same variance of returns, you want to choose the stock with the greatest mean return. So convert your series to returns and find the mean return. If your return series have different variances you should take a look at the ...
by merx
November 13th, 2007, 2:53 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Best way to average option prices?
Replies: 7
Views: 63333

Best way to average option prices?

<t>Option data are usually a bit tricky to deal with. In what you are trying to do I think you may run into a couple of issues:1. Option quotes for many of the strikes are very old. So you can't use all the strikes, you'll have to look and see if there was a trade recently. 2. Depending on your weig...
by merx
November 12th, 2007, 10:42 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: PHD after masters
Replies: 17
Views: 64968

PHD after masters

<t>With respect to how quickly you you finish your dissertation, keep in mind the quality of your dissertation and the amount of other publications you have will have an impact (a rather large impact if you are searching for an assistant professor position) on the job you get after the PhD. If you r...