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by Soorma
March 23rd, 2011, 2:07 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Normal implied Vols SABR
Replies: 6
Views: 22978

Normal implied Vols SABR

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: AlanI see. Well, instead of adjusting the parameters one by one, "by hand" as you seem to do, you couldwrite a simple optimizer to adjust them all at once for the best fit.An optimizer will definitely give me the best fit , but i would not be able to quantify my risks i...
by Soorma
March 23rd, 2011, 2:48 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Normal implied Vols SABR
Replies: 6
Views: 22978

Normal implied Vols SABR

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: AlanFrom (36), I assume the leading term is sig(n,atm) = sig0 F0^betaIf you include the corrections, you havesig(n,atm) = sig0 F0^beta{ 1 + [c1 beta + c2 rho alpha + c3 (2 - 3 rho^2) alpha^2]},where c1,c2,c3 are independent of alpha and rho. So, the corrections are line...
by Soorma
March 23rd, 2011, 12:17 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Normal implied Vols SABR
Replies: 6
Views: 22978

Normal implied Vols SABR

Anyone?I am sure all those using the normal SABR would be able to answer this I just want to confirm if i have made an implementation error or is it something known and corrected for> feesl like its a big practical issue to be ignored
by Soorma
March 22nd, 2011, 2:23 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Normal implied Vols SABR
Replies: 6
Views: 22978

Normal implied Vols SABR

<r>I have a problem with the normal implied vols derived from SABR (<URL url="http://www.math.nyu.edu/~alberts/spring07/Lecture2.pdf">http://www.math.nyu.edu/~alberts/spring07/Lecture2.pdf</URL>) Alpha is not proportional to ATM vol , as i increase alpha the ATM vol increases to a point and then dec...
by Soorma
March 22nd, 2011, 2:28 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: origins of interest rate skew
Replies: 19
Views: 29093

origins of interest rate skew

<r>Hi1) When you talk about beta 0 , are you talking about the SABR kicking out normal vols , or lognormal , i suspect with a normal sabr beta close to 0 seems to give a good snapshot of the market prices 2) Have you noticed that alpha and atm vol do not have one to one mapping , increasing alpha af...
by Soorma
November 4th, 2010, 3:14 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: a confusion needed to resolve
Replies: 7
Views: 25028

a confusion needed to resolve

If i understood you properly , the true realized vol v2 being different from v1 , implies a different path space than v1 . implied vol of 40 perc on the underlying implies a different distribution(paths) than an implied vol of 20 percent .
by Soorma
August 5th, 2010, 2:29 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: SABR model with extra param controlling the volofvol smile
Replies: 2
Views: 29989

SABR model with extra param controlling the volofvol smile

<t>I dont have much idea about swaptions but i assume the vol of vol increases when time to expiration decreases just because there is a jump risk for short term options. So i did not understand what decay are you talking about . Vol of vol may come down when the atm vol increases . Also would this ...
by Soorma
June 8th, 2010, 2:24 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Straddle changes on days like unemplyment
Replies: 0
Views: 26768

Straddle changes on days like unemplyment

<t>I am new to modeling STIR vol skews so i have a doubt for the practitioners.I feel that my straddle change(ATM VOL CHANGE) is not aligned to what the options market has .What would be a reasonable number of times we need to change the straddles on a day when the futures has moved 14 ticks ?My str...
by Soorma
May 23rd, 2010, 8:20 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Pricing STIR mid curve options
Replies: 1
Views: 30115

Pricing STIR mid curve options

<t>what vol should be used for pricing mid curve options ?for an option expiring on sep 10 on an underlying expiring on sep 11 , should i use the vol of the sep 11 future or do i need a term structure of the vol?How can such a term structure drawn or can it be deduced from any instruments traded in ...
by Soorma
May 23rd, 2010, 3:05 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: risk neutral implied probability
Replies: 10
Views: 31927

risk neutral implied probability

<t>Thank you guys i will surely read the article , but i was wondering if we can compare the historical vol vs implied vol then why cant we compare the implied probability distribution of the underlying with historical distribution as the prob distribution is extracted from the option prices which l...
by Soorma
May 19th, 2010, 6:16 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion
Replies: 8
Views: 30097

Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion

p_absorption(x|x0) < p_free(x|x0) < p_reflecting(x|x0agree on this but i have doubts if imp_vol ( reflecting)> imp_vol(free) for a strike under two distributions..I will check numerically and get back Thanks
by Soorma
May 19th, 2010, 12:38 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: risk neutral implied probability
Replies: 10
Views: 31927

risk neutral implied probability

i think i should rephrase can we compare historical realized vol vs implied vol because both are measured in different worlds ?
by Soorma
May 19th, 2010, 12:25 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion
Replies: 8
Views: 30097

Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion

<t>Thanks for your reply AlanIf the probability of the underlying reaching zero is negligible then under that distribution the volatility for the option at a strike close to zero is less . for ex if my underlying is at .5 and the price of an option at strike .25 is .025 then under the distribution w...
by Soorma
May 18th, 2010, 9:02 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion
Replies: 8
Views: 30097

Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion

<t>I sort of understand what u mean but i am trying to use it for interest rate option . i do not understand why would be the price of the option under no boundary constraint(means underlying can take negative values) be the same in which there is a boundary at 0. in the first case i would have posi...
by Soorma
May 18th, 2010, 7:03 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion
Replies: 8
Views: 30097

Option Pricing under bounded arithmetic brownian motion

I found a paper on it but i am uncomfortable with the result for the bounded option . It says when the boundary is at 0 the option value is same as the value of an option in an arithmetic brownian motion with no boundary