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by macrotrade
November 7th, 2009, 2:27 pm
Forum: Programming and Software Forum
Topic: How much is Thomson Datastream?
Replies: 0
Views: 33343

How much is Thomson Datastream?

..for one user including IBES?
by macrotrade
September 22nd, 2009, 9:20 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Financial Sector Profits, Derman's blog, & Bhagwati's question
Replies: 24
Views: 40294

Financial Sector Profits, Derman's blog, & Bhagwati's question

<t>What I find fascinating is that large parts of the profits are being paid out to employees, without the shareholders stepping in. As opposed to other industries people with good investment strategies can switch firms easily. Without prop trading profits should be much smaller. Many activities are...
by macrotrade
September 18th, 2009, 12:06 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<t>That's all very interesting, but a little besides the point. Physicists use (rather) precise measures and terminology. They are able to look at microstates and compare them with macrostates and the interaction. In economics there are no precise measures and no precise terminlogy. The idea that fi...
by macrotrade
September 17th, 2009, 8:02 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion
Replies: 47
Views: 46942

Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion

<t>If you compare RenTech to mainstream QuantFinance you should learn about what they are doing exactly. Hint: they don't hire finance guys and they operate mostly in very small time frames. That has nothing to do with riskmanagement / long-term economic models, which is what we are talking about he...
by macrotrade
September 15th, 2009, 11:30 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion
Replies: 47
Views: 46942

Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: knightrider@macrotrade: acastaldo is a bit too harsh, but is the reason Krugman's rant appeals to you that you are gleeful that you can finally shed the burden of playing with all those squiggly Greeks? What the h**l is "Logic >> Maths"? What do you care which is larger...
by macrotrade
September 15th, 2009, 11:20 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<r>QuoteThis third hypothesis for the cause of bubbles has support from behavioral finance and from more abstract studies of agent ecologies.I think this research only supports reasoning by analogy, not reasoning by prediction. Both strands of economics fail: the deductive approach and the empirical...
by macrotrade
September 11th, 2009, 10:47 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion
Replies: 47
Views: 46942

Paul Krugman's attack on specualtion

<t>Krugman's article has a very valid point, hasn't he? "Economists get It so wrong", because they rely on deeply flawed mathematics / thinking. Schopenhauer once said mathematics begins where thinking stops, and that is very true of (mathematical orientated) economics, especially in the heads of 'q...
by macrotrade
September 11th, 2009, 10:35 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Profits at the economy level
Replies: 11
Views: 37856

Profits at the economy level

<r>Profit by definition is income in excess of costs. Corporate profits are being paid out to its owners (at some point). So more corporate profits in the economy (versus GDP) means more wealth for stockholders. Stockholders to a great extent are rich people.Profit gets cummulated in a balance sheet...
by macrotrade
August 18th, 2009, 10:51 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Spread on barrier options
Replies: 0
Views: 35296

Spread on barrier options

Should the spread of barrier options (up/down out) widen the nearer it gets to the barrier? Are there any heuristicts / formulas for this? Thx.
by macrotrade
August 17th, 2009, 3:18 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<t>Quotereflexive systems contain a dynamic nonlinearity such that the equations of the system change over time. Or expressed as a computer programm: a programm which rewrites it's own code. I'm thinking of Von-Neumanns theory of self-reproducing automata here [1]. Because Heisenberg is never mentio...
by macrotrade
August 16th, 2009, 7:21 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<t>Quotethey are just plain nonsensical or incomplete, amateurish. Yeah, Soros is a real amateur when it comes to predicting financial markets. But people like Bernanke who believe economics is a subset of mathematics are right on the money. We all know how those great "theories" work on in practice...
by macrotrade
August 15th, 2009, 11:29 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<t>Quotei find soros' "explanations" of his thinking very chaotic. [...] he simply doesn't have a coherent theory [...] There can't be a theory, that's the whole point. Just like there can't be an algorithm which derives all future mathematics. Does that make Gödel's wrong? Of course Soros' argument...
by macrotrade
August 14th, 2009, 11:54 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Is Chaos theory in finance dead?
Replies: 250
Views: 73508

Is Chaos theory in finance dead?

<t>The biggest challenge to a mathematical theory of finance, that is actually economics, is not some aspect of mathematics. Calling a shortcoming of knowledge a theory is kind of strange anyway. The problem is really how quantitative and qualitative aspects are related. People forget that mathemati...
by macrotrade
August 8th, 2009, 8:32 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: 2nd tier hedgefunds
Replies: 0
Views: 35880

2nd tier hedgefunds

I am working for an investment boutique and want to move into hedgefunds. I have no great names on my CV, so I am looking for places where I do have chance. Actually I want to do (systematic) strategies, but I would do programming/data stuff, too, if it's related. Comments appreciated.
by macrotrade
June 2nd, 2009, 8:32 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Are You an Austrian, Axiomatic or Mainstream Economist?
Replies: 23
Views: 47135

Are You an Austrian, Axiomatic or Mainstream Economist?

What about the Soros / Taleb / agnostic school of economics? Mainstream economics is axiomatic.