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by FalsePositive
November 27th, 2018, 12:22 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Is Bitcoin volatility a "BUY" or "SELL"?
Replies: 14
Views: 10373

Re: Is Bitcoin volatility a "BUY" or "SELL"?

I haven't followed Bitcoin recently, but in my opinion, applying efficient market theory to crypto is futile. There are lots of scams, pump & dump schemes, etc and price movements are mainly based on sentiments. I suppose historically swing trading bitcoin may have proved profitable as the price...
by FalsePositive
April 28th, 2017, 3:22 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Card Flip
Replies: 23
Views: 6171

Re: Card Flip

Deductive reasoning (Orthodox statistics):  If A gives rise to B,  then observations of A should imply B So flip "8" and "green" cards Inductive reasoning (Bayesian statistics):  If A gives rise to B, then evidence for B makes A more plausible So flip "blue" card and us...
by FalsePositive
April 28th, 2017, 2:52 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: What is the probability to toss HH in 10 tosses?
Replies: 11
Views: 15454

Re: What is the probability to toss HH in 10 tosses?

There are N-2+1 = 9 possible 2-streaks where HH can happen with probability 1/4.  Now we know that  probability of at least one HH = 1 - probability of no HH = 1 - (3/4)^9 = .92 The chance of getting at least one HH is high because, as you mentioned, on average one HH is expected in every 6 tosses,...
by FalsePositive
December 16th, 2010, 11:14 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Preparing (psychologically) for my first job
Replies: 10
Views: 24716

Preparing (psychologically) for my first job

<t>You don't need a roommate; a single roommate is not going to make you more social! What you need is to hang out outside and be active all the time. You shouldn't spend a minute at home if you are not comfortable being alone. Go to the gym, get a drink in a bar, club, sit alone, expand your comfor...
by FalsePositive
October 28th, 2009, 10:16 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: numerical/verbal reasoning tests
Replies: 3
Views: 35253

numerical/verbal reasoning tests

<t>The truth is that when you play with chance you should be and act quite foolish. The randomness is so deceiving that no amount of IQ can rescue you. What is important is to be able to float yourself on the circumstances of life and the stock market! Intuition, diligence, hard-work and a strong se...
by FalsePositive
October 27th, 2009, 10:41 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: numerical/verbal reasoning tests
Replies: 3
Views: 35253

numerical/verbal reasoning tests

<t>What is this nonsense called "numerical reasoning test" which is part of the investment banks' online assessment? I take them and always fail as they are timed and I am not so quick to answer all of them (Gladly I'm not so stupidly intelligent!). It sounds to me that a bunch of dogface consultant...
by FalsePositive
October 26th, 2009, 9:32 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Need advice from experienced Wilmott'ers
Replies: 14
Views: 36362

Need advice from experienced Wilmott'ers

So, how do you want to become a trader if you cannot even decide between job offers? Especially when both offers are good you can just toss a coin and stand by the consequences...
by FalsePositive
October 10th, 2009, 8:59 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews
Replies: 137
Views: 51281

looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: i386QuoteOriginally posted by: jawabeanthere's very few jobs and a lot of candidates with non-finance quant knowledge. there's 5000 physics PhDs in USA annually, most of them are foreigners (i.e. desperately poor) and are after the same few jobs like you. does this soun...
by FalsePositive
October 10th, 2009, 12:08 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews
Replies: 137
Views: 51281

looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: euclidnetQuoteOriginally posted by: FalsePositiveyep, I have been on the job market for two months and got a couple of interviews after sending nearly three hundred CVs and talking to 50+ headhunters but no job offer yet.. Now I have started to look for software develop...
by FalsePositive
October 9th, 2009, 11:29 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews
Replies: 137
Views: 51281

looking for a quant job for 40 days, only two phone interviews

<t>yep, I have been on the job market for two months and got a couple of interviews after sending nearly three hundred CVs and talking to 50+ headhunters but no job offer yet.. Now I have started to look for software developer jobs but headhunters don't reply to my emails. There are hundreds of C++ ...
by FalsePositive
September 23rd, 2009, 11:07 am
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: practical market insight books
Replies: 1
Views: 35271

practical market insight books

<t>I would like to know about books which give practical market insight. Preferably non-geeky books written by practitioners and experienced traders. Topics of interest for me: What are the main features of different markets and financial instruments. How do different markets and instruments interre...
by FalsePositive
September 21st, 2009, 9:24 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Will being a Quant improve my sex life?
Replies: 87
Views: 47139

Will being a Quant improve my sex life?

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: tu160QuoteOriginally posted by: FalsePositiveThis is not about abilities.. it's about standards of living! There is obviously a difference between what Hugh Hefner f@cks in his eighties and what an investment banker .. What you say resembles the words of a poor wretched...
by FalsePositive
September 21st, 2009, 6:13 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Probability or Martingale
Replies: 3
Views: 43880

Probability or Martingale

Can someone please solve this question using either methods? I want to learn this as I seem to have problems with transition matrix brainteasers.. Thanks,
by FalsePositive
September 21st, 2009, 2:07 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Will being a Quant improve my sex life?
Replies: 87
Views: 47139

Will being a Quant improve my sex life?

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: tu160QuoteOriginally posted by: FalsePositiveYeah, what about waiting until you made your first million, then hire the top few porn-stars of the planet in a luxury beach house and screw them until dawn...This is what people call f@ck the TV screen. What p-star can $1000...
by FalsePositive
September 21st, 2009, 11:19 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Will being a Quant improve my sex life?
Replies: 87
Views: 47139

Will being a Quant improve my sex life?

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: trackstarQuoteOriginally posted by: deepvaluecomputer radiation coupled with thousands of lines of code kills off your sex drive; all old quants can look but no touch.I disagree about losing your viginity to just anyone.Make it special.Yeah, what about waiting until you...
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