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by halik
June 16th, 2011, 2:20 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Good books for FX modeling
Replies: 0
Views: 19355

Good books for FX modeling

Hey guys,any recommendations for FX valuation/forecasting/analysis books? Looking for something like Chudry's Fixed Income Securities
by halik
December 8th, 2010, 9:06 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent
Replies: 15
Views: 34125

the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: farmerQuoteOriginally posted by: halikAgain, is your argument that we should abandon unemployment assistance or what?To achieve the objectives you claim to want, you should privatize it. Being unemployed myself, I kinda like it the way it is. It gives me a warm feeling,...
by halik
December 8th, 2010, 2:44 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent
Replies: 15
Views: 34125

the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: farmerQuoteOriginally posted by: halikIn all honestly, you've lost me with the above.That's because you are not too bright. I lost you at the word "savings."QuoteOriginally posted by: halikAndy Mellon had the same view on things in '29 and that led to some academically-...
by halik
December 8th, 2010, 1:01 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent
Replies: 15
Views: 34125

the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: farmerQuoteOriginally posted by: halikThose lazy proletarians should've saved money for a macro event that blind-sighted the bulk of professional economists and money managers.Isn't savings so ridiculous? If somebody every found out a good reason for it, we should give ...
by halik
December 7th, 2010, 5:14 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent
Replies: 15
Views: 34125

the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: farmerQuoteOriginally posted by: halikA bit shortsightedYes, if only we could find him another job where he was so productive he got laid off! That would be so much better than him finding something that is actually valuable to someone.In the meantime, I am waiting for ...
by halik
December 7th, 2010, 4:21 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent
Replies: 15
Views: 34125

the cost and benefit of unemployment insurance, the stupidest money ever spent

<t>A bit shortsighted, if anything you should be comparing the present values of the persons product/wage. There's a been a ton of academic research showing that lower paying jobs will set you back a long time and generally the present value of output of a person in a job that matches his/her skill ...
by halik
November 20th, 2010, 2:54 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Price Exotic Option
Replies: 5
Views: 25569

Price Exotic Option

<t>Those two things don't make sense, if the issue is trading tighter than what the company has it on the balance sheet as (100 over), it obviously can find financing for under 100 over(and thus call the issue)Are you sure the difference isn't due to small $ balance, where the revolving costs are mo...
by halik
November 20th, 2010, 2:44 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: covariance of metagaussian gamma rv
Replies: 2
Views: 22764

covariance of metagaussian gamma rv

Just looking at wiki,wouldn't that be r * (a1)^(1/2)*b1 * (a2)^(1/2)*b2 ?
by halik
November 19th, 2010, 2:37 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Securitization - steps
Replies: 2
Views: 23816

Securitization - steps

<t>Generally structured pricing works something like this:1) generate correlated default vectors for the underlying collateral 2) Run them through cashflow waterfall with some prepayment and loss severity/LGD assumptions where the attachment/detachment points dictate the losses for the individual tr...
by halik
November 18th, 2010, 3:59 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: risk neutral probability
Replies: 29
Views: 30169

risk neutral probability

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: ehQuoteOriginally posted by: halikRisk neutral in finance generally means you're getting compensated for volatility so that you're indifferent between two assets with same expected pay off, but different payoff sigma^2. In economics, it means you don't have a preference...
by halik
November 16th, 2010, 7:16 pm
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: risk neutral probability
Replies: 29
Views: 30169

risk neutral probability

<t>Risk neutral in finance generally means you're getting compensated for volatility so that you're indifferent between two assets with same expected pay off, but different payoff sigma^2. In economics, it means you don't have a preference between $2 and a $0 with 50% change and $4 with 50% chance. ...
by halik
November 8th, 2010, 8:43 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Where to Obtain Good Stock Data?
Replies: 10
Views: 28548

Where to Obtain Good Stock Data?

bloomberg?
by halik
November 5th, 2010, 6:57 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Suggestions re: entry and exit rules for statistical arbitrage?
Replies: 5
Views: 32047

Suggestions re: entry and exit rules for statistical arbitrage?

Under which scenarios did the prices not converge when the spread got over 1.5 st devs? If you come up with a way to forecast vol regime switch, pairs arb is probably the last application for that
by halik
November 4th, 2010, 12:17 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Helicopter Ben
Replies: 41
Views: 37326

Helicopter Ben

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: Gmike2000So now the numbers are out. What is the implication of this FED decision? They want to buy all those bonds by Q2 2011. How long are they going to hold them for? Wouldn't they need to sell them at some point to shrink their balance sheet? So, knowing there is go...
by halik
November 3rd, 2010, 12:39 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Computer Scientists, where they go wrong
Replies: 46
Views: 28580

Computer Scientists, where they go wrong

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: halikIf you go to a decent school, computational foundations are part of the curriculum. I've wasted at least 2 semesters of my life doing proofs on complexity classes and other such bullshit.It's too bad you feel that way because ...
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