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by theRedBaron
December 11th, 2016, 9:22 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Making Money on Zero Drift LogNormal Random Walks
Replies: 9
Views: 13051

Re: Making Money on Zero Drift LogNormal Random Walks

To MartinGale7 and Alan: so, what exactly is the strategy to make money? Are you just net long the portfolio? How do you decide which stocks to buy and how/when to rebalance?
by theRedBaron
February 12th, 2015, 1:51 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: SVD as a pricing model?
Replies: 5
Views: 5652

SVD as a pricing model?

Not of the basket, but of individual contracts inside it. You know what I mean,
by theRedBaron
February 11th, 2015, 2:59 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: SVD as a pricing model?
Replies: 5
Views: 5652

SVD as a pricing model?

To be used to find mispricings in a basket of highly correlated assets. Is this idea viable? Any references? How would it work in practice?
by theRedBaron
April 10th, 2014, 3:37 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?

Ok, please send me the papers.What should the holding times be then?
by theRedBaron
April 9th, 2014, 12:42 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?

<r>Thanks a lot for your responses, can you please look at <URL url="http://wilmott.com/messageview.cfm?catid=38&threadid=96576&STARTPAGE=16"><LINK_TEXT text="http://wilmott.com/messageview.cfm?cati ... ARTPAGE=16">http://wilmott.com/messageview.cfm?catid=38&threadid=96576&STARTPAGE=...
by theRedBaron
April 6th, 2014, 12:30 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?

Explanation please? And to what part of my question this refers?
by theRedBaron
April 5th, 2014, 3:40 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

From PCA vectors to hedge coefficients?

<t>1) Suppose I have 5, products, the #1 PCA is [a,b,c,d,e], what should be the rations of the positions of each contract to be hedged?2) Suppose I have the top 3 PCAs, i.e. eigenvectors of the covariance matrix. What is the formula for the hedge coefficients then? 3) Suppose I am hedging with respe...
by theRedBaron
April 3rd, 2014, 8:34 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: PCA questions
Replies: 4
Views: 6093

PCA questions

<t>Thanks a lot.How about the other issues? I am really curious as to what do I put in the matrix of data? Textbooks warn against prices, and suggest, for example, first differences. But then, how do I find fair prices, when my matrix doesn't contain prices? I can only find fair first differences.Al...
by theRedBaron
April 3rd, 2014, 8:18 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: PCA questions
Replies: 4
Views: 6093

PCA questions

The example given in part 3) is specific to that part, not to the general setting. Any ideas on the other topics?
by theRedBaron
April 3rd, 2014, 6:09 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: PCA questions
Replies: 4
Views: 6093

PCA questions

<t>I want to use PCA to trade a set of related fixed income products, for intraday trading with short holding times (2mins - 30 mins)1) Do I populate the data matrix with yields or prices, and what difference does it make?2) What is a reasonable sampling rule/frequency/number of samples/lookback win...
by theRedBaron
October 10th, 2013, 2:47 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Teza interview
Replies: 0
Views: 7229

Teza interview

Has anyone gone through it? How recently? How hard/advanced was it?
by theRedBaron
September 25th, 2013, 1:58 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: True or false
Replies: 35
Views: 23312

True or false

maratikus, can you please explain your reasoning?
by theRedBaron
December 24th, 2012, 10:31 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Layering position when trading a pair
Replies: 0
Views: 9774

Layering position when trading a pair

Suppose you buy a stat arb pair, but you want your strategy to be allowed to buy it a few more times as it goes down. What is the optimal way to do this? How do you figure out at what points to load?Also, what are some useful metrics in general when profiling a spread?
by theRedBaron
December 23rd, 2012, 4:08 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Most traded stat arb pairs among futures
Replies: 0
Views: 10138

Most traded stat arb pairs among futures

Any idea what these might be? Anything specific in the fixed income world? I am looking into intraday strategies, holding times up to an hour or so.
by theRedBaron
December 23rd, 2012, 12:11 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Pairs trade on futures
Replies: 0
Views: 9965

Pairs trade on futures

<t>I am developing a pairs trade on futures contracts. I run it intraday, with holding times of ~20 min, and fixed coefficients and hedge rations, that I compute with a lookback of a few days.How can I rigorously test what is the best lookback time(how many days do I consider when I compute coeffici...
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