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by farmer
July 2nd, 2004, 11:55 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Exit stratergy
Replies: 8
Views: 184630

Exit stratergy

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: MonkeyCBut point about finding your own way is well taken.You never know, you may get lucky.I know a guy who failed out of business school, and then the dot-com company he worked for went bust. One day he was eating dinner with his dog, a piece fell on the floor, and he...
by farmer
July 1st, 2004, 6:34 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: changes in hedge funds, and regulation
Replies: 2
Views: 185619

changes in hedge funds, and regulation

<t>You kids really should care about this, because it will affect your ability to make a living:hedge fund regulationWhat it basically means, is that the SEC will put all hedge funds under an umbrella brand name. No matter how good your returns, you will be classified and lumped together with the lo...
by farmer
July 1st, 2004, 5:06 pm
Forum: Programming and Software Forum
Topic: Recordsets in VBA
Replies: 6
Views: 185273

Recordsets in VBA

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: JCFCould you please give me a piece of sample code regarding what you're suggesting because it isn't entirely clear to me.I made a web site a little over a year ago at 2uLive.com. I cut and pasted all the code, fairly hastily, from what were at the time up-to-date examp...
by farmer
July 1st, 2004, 2:18 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Exit stratergy
Replies: 8
Views: 184630

Exit stratergy

<t>If you are miserable with what you are doing, you can always start a web site where you publish your own art, or short stories or something. Or you can go back to college.The reason people become "employees" in the first place, is because they don't know anything about anything. So they get some ...
by farmer
July 1st, 2004, 1:09 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Q: Persistence vs Momentum
Replies: 2
Views: 184299

Q: Persistence vs Momentum

<t>Since I have never heard it before, I suspect "persistence" is an obscure term, which is what enables it to have a specific definition (put forth by the person who invented it).Momentum is popular word on television, which I think is used to describe not simply trend traders, but also to generall...
by farmer
July 1st, 2004, 12:10 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: .
Replies: 56
Views: 187279

.

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: mikebellNice to see that communist ideals are live and well.You're only half right - communist ideas WILL be alive and well IF she can get elected.But why wait around bitching and moaning, and hoping the benighted American voter will step into line, so they can start do...
by farmer
June 29th, 2004, 8:35 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Prime Numbers
Replies: 9
Views: 187775

Prime Numbers

<t>Okay, I thought day and night for a week, and came up with an example.What is the largest number, which you can prove exactly that number of primes exists on at least one interval of length 8,000,000,000,000,000?We know you can prove there is an interval of 8,000,000,000,000,000 with exactly five...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 7:55 pm
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: Financial Bubbles
Replies: 30
Views: 187921

Financial Bubbles

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: krdude, in Manhattan there is a supply chain for EVERYTHINGAccording to the triannual survey of housing in NYC, the total number of units went from 3,038,796 in 1999, to 3,208,587 in 2002. While there are many ways to measure what is being supplied, that is certainly on...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 5:40 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: FX Hedge Fund Solvency
Replies: 5
Views: 185038

FX Hedge Fund Solvency

<t>Leverage doesn't necessarily mean "leverage" in the currency market. The crudest measure of leverage, is how much money you would expect to have left if you sold your entire position instantly.* In the big three currencies, where I would guess many of these funds are weighted, I wonder if even th...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 5:08 pm
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: Financial Bubbles
Replies: 30
Views: 187921

Financial Bubbles

<t>One big difference between Manhattan real estate, and the Internet runup, is that there came to be a supply chain in dot-com stocks. As such, when prices fell out, all those employees in that supply chain became dislocated. Whereas the hottest real estate markets are hot largely because the lack ...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 3:42 pm
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: Financial Bubbles
Replies: 30
Views: 187921

Financial Bubbles

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: Collectorperfect, I need a deep bid to get on a massive short position ;-)If I remember correctly, the Florida Real Estate Commission gave me a sales (not broker) license in only a few months. Assuming New York in 2004 isn't too much worse, what are you waiting for? You...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 3:37 pm
Forum: Book And Research Paper Forum
Topic: Financial Bubbles
Replies: 30
Views: 187921

Financial Bubbles

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: krI gots the $$ to buy but I'm rentingLet's say that by "bubble," you mean that you expect prices to drop in less time than it would take you to invest, build, and unload. In a bubble, there should be people who think prices are going up and who buy, as well as people w...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 11:52 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: (probability question) how to play this gamble?
Replies: 17
Views: 185807

(probability question) how to play this gamble?

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelThe expected portfolio rtn is 1.0775 and its variance is 0.837.I'm guessing that's the expected return on a single cycle. Given the possibility of going to zero and interrupting a sequence of bets, I'm guessing that a less risky return on total assets (total as...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 11:48 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: (probability question) how to play this gamble?
Replies: 17
Views: 185807

(probability question) how to play this gamble?

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelassuming that all three bets are idepedent (correlation of zero)Probably, all three bets on the same probability would also be independent. In other words, even if the first bet were a 100% profit rather than breakeven, a sufficiently lagre portfolio of only .2...
by farmer
June 28th, 2004, 11:37 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: (probability question) how to play this gamble?
Replies: 17
Views: 185807

(probability question) how to play this gamble?

<t>If the bets were large relative to my bankroll, I'd probably start out playing the higher-probability .3 game. Then I'd switch over to the .2 game once I had enough money to be relatively safe from having to raise money.Otherwise, in the event I went broke, I'd lose a lot of bets in the time it t...
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