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by farmer
May 8th, 2014, 11:00 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures
Replies: 12
Views: 5916

Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures

<t>Oh well, I was wrong and I lost three pips. 1 pip considering I took off long USDJPY to make the trade, and got long USDJPY again 2 pips lower.I would have made money if my program hadn't malfunctioned (for no reason I can figure out). So like any gambler, I want that 1 pip back.I was bothered by...
by farmer
May 8th, 2014, 10:45 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures
Replies: 12
Views: 5916

Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures

People expected the BOJ to act when they said they wouldn't, and now expect ECB not to when they said they would. In both cases it is thinking the economy has a specific effect on the central bank thinking. I have lost money making such assumptions.
by farmer
May 8th, 2014, 10:24 am
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures
Replies: 12
Views: 5916

Tomorrows ECB Ratedecission + US Figures

<t>I don't know how people don't expect the ECB to cut rates. Draghi basically said three things will cause him to cut rates,1) no rebound in April inflation,2) short-term rates above the policy rate,and more recently3) a high euro.April inflation did not rebound.EONIA has been high.EURUSD just unde...
by farmer
May 7th, 2014, 8:33 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Nigeria
Replies: 159
Views: 154856

Nigeria

<t>We all know that muslims are for the most part good people who are misunderstood and provoked by the USA. If Boko Haram murders 10,000 people, it is just the position that George W. Bush and Israel and Exxon forced them into. So what is the big deal, right? We are sorry about the 10,000 dead peop...
by farmer
May 7th, 2014, 4:36 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Nigeria
Replies: 159
Views: 154856

Nigeria

Can't they just figure out what youtube video is offending them and take it down?
by farmer
May 7th, 2014, 2:59 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: How you think Real Estate in China?
Replies: 6
Views: 6329

How you think Real Estate in China?

<t>According to Goldman Sachs, China has recently extended the maturity of her US treasuries. That seems to put them on the same side as Blackrock and El Erian, and opposite Bill Gross. Bill Gross has called the Chinese economy "mystery meat." Maybe if he knew what was in the mystery meat, he would ...
by farmer
May 7th, 2014, 10:20 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: Capital flows and Exchange rate
Replies: 15
Views: 7897

Capital flows and Exchange rate

<t>Goldman is now using my term "dark matter." I looked at Chinese activity, and decided it didn't fit. And/or whatever the dark matter was, was already gone if it ever existed. And it didn't need to, as I could account for every move based on known activity.QuoteUSD behavior has switched, even very...
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 4:17 pm
Forum: Trading Forum
Topic: Evidence of HFT ?
Replies: 1
Views: 5065

Evidence of HFT ?

<t>Just a minute, let me cross-check maps.google.comOkay, I see a selloff, then a rebound. There were bigger air pockets in the S&P back when it was traded in the pit. I am sure there were low-latency traders (t4a's term) scalping it both ways. But seen from a helicopter, there was one move each...
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 2:23 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: nothing good comes of not watching television
Replies: 20
Views: 5787

nothing good comes of not watching television

<t>TV is amazing, for providing an unlimited number of cryptic names to wonder about like stars in the sky. Names like "Octomom." What is an octomom? Those who watch TV know the answer.So I clicked over to cnn.com, and saw a picture of a rough-looking woman with the caption "Chelsea Handler Just Wan...
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 12:25 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: funny racism news
Replies: 113
Views: 11075

funny racism news

QuoteOriginally posted by: zerdnaSterling IS a Democrat.He is also a hero of the NAACP, and sounds in private just like every Democrat I rode with on the gondola at Aspen.
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 12:17 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: funny racism news
Replies: 113
Views: 11075

funny racism news

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: zerdnaI struggle to name someone who is smart, honest, and standing a chance to beat even such a repulsive and duplicitous bitch like Hillary.I am reminded how Mitt Romney put his dog on the roof. A real politician only owns a dog for one purpose: to create a personal i...
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 11:27 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: a quick explanation of QE and inflation
Replies: 49
Views: 15777

a quick explanation of QE and inflation

QuoteOriginally posted by: ctabetterYou must be unemployedIf you ever get tired of the smell of office-kitchen microwaved noodles, I have a Plan B for you: Get shin implants. Then you will be able to find a girlfriend without having to lease a miniature BMW.
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 11:17 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Physics PhD preparing for stat arb interviews
Replies: 17
Views: 9422

Physics PhD preparing for stat arb interviews

QuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaAlso remember that not every statistician is a Bayesian and there are valid arguments for both ways (Bayesian and frequentist) of thinking about probability.P(bayesian|statistician)=P(statistician|bayesian)P(bayesian)/P(statistician)
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 10:54 am
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: a quick explanation of QE and inflation
Replies: 49
Views: 15777

a quick explanation of QE and inflation

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: ctabetterYou must be unemployedYou got that right! There is no way I am going to go churn out tax revenue for these faggots like a bunny in a cage, when I can instead do this stuff all day, the most fun thing in the world.I take it you are one of these working zombies, ...
by farmer
May 6th, 2014, 10:45 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: funny racism news
Replies: 113
Views: 11075

funny racism news

<r>Here is this funny video that purports to show Democrats saying it is racist to not like Mexican food: <YOUTUBE id="YpUSD4Lrt34But" url="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpUSD4Lrt34But"><URL url="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpUSD4Lrt34But">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpUSD4Lrt34But</URL></YOU...
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