SERVING THE QUANTITATIVE FINANCE COMMUNITY

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by gardener3
June 4th, 2013, 7:11 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: quantitative easing, government, speculators, and the zero lower bound
Replies: 26
Views: 12449

quantitative easing, government, speculators, and the zero lower bound

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: farmerBill Gross swings the hammer on a theory behind the QE-sucks particle.He has the same sorts of ideas I have suggested. But his only actual example was Apple. Maybe if he were making more than 2% on those bonds he owns, he could put some staff to work on all that d...
by gardener3
May 30th, 2013, 1:55 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Explaining how stocks work
Replies: 15
Views: 8768

Explaining how stocks work

Simple. You got supply on LHS and demand on the RHS. The price equates the two
by gardener3
May 30th, 2013, 1:52 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Expected market return
Replies: 25
Views: 9077

Expected market return

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: AlanExpected returns can be strongly dependent on (current or expected) volatility, but samples display insignificant autocorrelation.Zero autocorrelation for the population does not imply the returns are independence.Try the autocorrelation of the absolute returns. In ...
by gardener3
May 30th, 2013, 1:40 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: Expected market return
Replies: 25
Views: 9077

Expected market return

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: rolandograndiHi Traden Alpha,Your graphic is very interesting, thanks for sharing it I know that the slope is different every time! So of course if I calculate the 10 last years' slope it will be wrong to use that slope to anticipate next 10 years returns! But what abou...
by gardener3
May 28th, 2013, 3:14 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?
Replies: 50
Views: 10519

Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?

<t>You guys are not making a distinction between nominal and real price changes which is annoying me Suppose you produce oranges and hurricanes cause fluctuations in yield. Suppose you also produce apples, and for the sake of argument assume that the apple yield is constant and does not depend on th...
by gardener3
May 27th, 2013, 8:11 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?
Replies: 50
Views: 10519

Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?

<t>QuoteHmm... Obviously I've failed to explain what I mean and maybe the term "medium of exchange" doesn't make sense in world of instantaneous electronic pricing and transactions. What if a person could go to Amazon.com and see all the prices posted in their person currency of "labour-hours"? And ...
by gardener3
May 27th, 2013, 5:22 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?
Replies: 50
Views: 10519

Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: gardener3QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4Alpha.................Finally, I wonder if the Fed and all institutions like it will become obsolete for three reasons. First, to the extent that more companies and more individuals become...
by gardener3
May 24th, 2013, 10:31 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Empathy
Replies: 103
Views: 9704

Empathy

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: zerdnaQuoteOriginally posted by: gardener3I got 33 out of 36. Apparently this test sucks, because I feel no empathy, sympathy or any other emotion towards this soldier. Perhaps because I live in the US and have no personal connection, or maybe because I am too logical, ...
by gardener3
May 24th, 2013, 10:26 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Empathy
Replies: 103
Views: 9704

Empathy

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: trackstarQuoteOriginally posted by: edouardThe one on the pic below is Claudia Schiffer. I know this pic (it was in the years 1992-3), but was unable to find it out on the internet. Anyway, I didn't know she also worked as a stripper.This is a good example - what is the...
by gardener3
May 24th, 2013, 3:36 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?
Replies: 50
Views: 10519

Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: exneratunriskThe emergance and fall of cultures has to do with "philosophy" ... distance trading and money systems? It was enough to understand the economic behavior of the Cotctaw to understand economic behavior for prosperity .... ?For 950 years we could calculate but...
by gardener3
May 24th, 2013, 3:34 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?
Replies: 50
Views: 10519

Does anyone remember the last 1,000 years?

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: exneratunriskThe emergance and fall of cultures has to do with "philosophy" ... distance trading and money systems? It was enough to understand the economic behavior of the Cotctaw to understand economic behavior for prosperity ......
by gardener3
May 24th, 2013, 3:09 pm
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: Empathy
Replies: 103
Views: 9704

Empathy

<t>I got 33 out of 36. Apparently this test sucks, because I feel no empathy, sympathy or any other emotion towards this soldier. Perhaps because I live in the US and have no personal connection, or maybe because I am too logical, and like t4a, think of all the poor souls who have died from less ext...
by gardener3
May 20th, 2013, 7:32 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: good comedy in europe
Replies: 114
Views: 21357

good comedy in europe

<t>QuoteWith all our different experiences and opinions between us we could easily come up with something better than what economists have done!After the financial crisis, you'd think that quants would have a bit more humility. Given the comments thus far, I am going to doubt that people who thought...
by gardener3
May 20th, 2013, 7:28 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: good comedy in europe
Replies: 114
Views: 21357

good comedy in europe

<r>QuoteOriginally posted by: Paul@g3: The question was intended to start to quantify the subject. So just keeping it simple to start with. It seems to me that fixed amounts, percentages, progressive, etc. can be turned into something vaguely quanty by looking at convexity. And negative convexity ha...
by gardener3
May 20th, 2013, 3:56 pm
Forum: Economics Forum
Topic: good comedy in europe
Replies: 114
Views: 21357

good comedy in europe

<t>QuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQn: Should what you keep as a function of your salary be convex or concave?Follow-up questions will involve the role of Jensen's inequality? Whether it is better to be an employee or an employer? And lots of interesting features of convexity, valuation and incentive...
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