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by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 10:00 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

Oh, I know Smokey is a girl! I just thought you were cheating on her with another cat since you didn't mention her by her name :-) (Careful with stray cats - I haven't been able to get rid of folliculitis from my chin and belly for a month after I got licked!) How many times have you typed the word...
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 9:35 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

First, as other have pointed out, apparently MSM's are just different language for what are traditionally called "Continuous-time Markov Chains". Indeed. I looked very quickly but that is what I would also have said. So, it is a special case, then all the already found results can be applied. No ne...
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 3:55 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

It's moving, but only 1 minute QPU time/month.
I'll need a bigger boat to do a social network analysis of this site, down the years.
dwave-ocean-sdk OK 
Remark: It would be nice to run on PC before burning my monthly qbit allowance!
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 3:16 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

Ah - on T&C - maybe it sees that you are in EU - perhaps call customer service tomorrow and see what they can do to hook you up?

fixed. I tried another PC. 

They call me the wanderer

Yeah, the wanderer
I roam around, around, around
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 3:05 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

Is the US or Australia health care country budget enough, Cuchulainn?
Not if Trump can help it; in fairness, you mentioned social sciences, so I had to start somewhere.
I would prefer more beds in hospitals.
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 2:22 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: Are you ready for Brexit?
Replies: 624
Views: 24840

Re: Are you ready for Brexit?

Some kindred spirits; IREXIT

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irish_Freedom_Party

You are not alone.
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 12:57 pm
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

I am curious as to what you think the applicability of multi-state-models (MSM's) are to venture capital finance, as opposed to utilizing less technical methods or real options valuation and perhaps we can come up with some examples of next generation phasing within venture capital. I'm curious as ...
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 11:54 am
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Are Artificial Intelligence methods (AKA Neural Networks) for PDEs about to rediscover the wheel ?
Replies: 330
Views: 17636

Re: Are Artificial Intelligence methods (AKA Neural Networks) for PDEs about to rediscover the wheel ?

This is a nice reply, JohnLeM. I have not seen any head-on comparison KS versus RKHS for 1-sample, 2-sample, independence tests etc. A cursory read of all this stuff is that the latter approach is more accurate (uniform convergence bounds, distribution-independent), robust, mathematically mature (Fu...
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 11:31 am
Forum: Numerical Methods Forum
Topic: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation
Replies: 29
Views: 714

Re: Multi-state probabilities/models (MSM) and regression applied to venture capital and innovation

Multistate Markov models are indeed powerful in domains like medicine, because they make use of longitudinal data typically gathered in clinical trials (with all their features, such as attrition, censoring, etc.). I wouldn't say there is anything "very, very unique" about them. They can be thought...
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 11:00 am
Forum: Off Topic
Topic: is medicine a science ?
Replies: 188
Views: 34269

Re: is medicine a science ?

Re-running a code is not reproducing but repeating. If you want to reproduce the result, write your own code based on the description of method in the article ;-) It depends on the use case. It depends on how accurate/known the input requirements are. And/or massaging the output to suit the  input....
by Cuchulainn
November 17th, 2019, 10:53 am
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: General Election 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 3049

Re: General Election 2019

As for free love (which, given the alternative, seems pretty reasonable), our elder daughter spent a good chunk of her undergraduate career at Reed College. Motto (from the 1920's): "Communism, Atheism, Free Love". An excellent school, which, on an intellectual level, is probably more similar to th...
by Cuchulainn
November 16th, 2019, 8:14 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: General Election 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 3049

Re: General Election 2019

Longer than you. I have never lived in E London.  But you studied with a guy whose paternal uncle gave harpsichord lessons to a guy who ate in an old junk food shop at Bricklane, so you know the territory better than I ;-P si fueris Romae, Romano vivito more; si fueris alibi, vivito sicut ibi http:...
by Cuchulainn
November 16th, 2019, 7:24 pm
Forum: Politics Forum
Topic: General Election 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 3049

Re: General Election 2019

Not so many young Russian quants these days. 
GZIP: On