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October 18th, 2007, 12:47 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>Farmer, sorry for the confusion. set-mining is exactly what the whole discussion below is all about. My point is many people are unaware of this strategy so you can use it to huge adv. against these folks (e.g. yourself, until you read this discussion)You call a (seemingly-high) raise with your m...
October 16th, 2007, 2:33 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>No, we initiate the action post-flop. I specified at start that we are in Small blind.If 3 x x (& no A) comes, we initiate the action first by overbetting 2500 into a 2000 pot making it 4500.Of course, being unaware of our set-mining strategy he's gotta raise upto 4k-6k with his prized AA. Wh...
October 15th, 2007, 6:38 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<r>About taking small edges in early stages of a tourney, here is a classic debate --<URL url="http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=0&Number=3436856&an=0&page=0#Post3436856See"><LINK_TEXT text="http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showt ... 3436856See">http://forumserver.t...
October 15th, 2007, 5:50 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>I would like to break most table-analysis as --1. How correct your range estimation is2. Implied odds (or expected money won)3. Approximating your pot odds, winning probability -- FROM MEMORY1. and 2. are almost certain given the nature of the bet. 1. AA with 99% prob2. Consider the opponent's vi...
October 10th, 2007, 12:50 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>@ you might "accidentally" flip over just one of your cards.yes, that's a nice one. In NYC clubs however they used to have (in 2005) this big sign on the wall:"For tournament play: Exposed hands in multi-way pots are dead"There is no question that winning blinds helps tourney play -- but in this ...
October 9th, 2007, 7:45 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>@ marsden"With a Q-Q or a J-J, you're basically betting that no one following you has a higher pair than you, and that you might pick up a loose player with an Ace-face, in which case you have to be prepared to fold if something flops higher than your pair and opponent re-raises your medium raise...
October 9th, 2007, 7:41 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>Nice:11.5% * 10,040 - 86% * 1020 - 2.5% * 10,000 = 93.7Why not fold when the A hits the flop?11.5% * 10,040 - 86% * 1020 - 2.5% * 1,020 ?So call pre-flop. If 3 hits, over-bet the pot. He calls/raises. Pot ~ 6-8K.Then easily push remaining on turn. (of course an A may come on turn/river with 4% pr...
October 9th, 2007, 12:19 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<r>I believe less than 5% of players would raise so high without AA or KK. This is because Reward/risk is very bad unless you have AA or KK where it is less bad. (explained below) Overall this move is -expectation because you might pretty much play your cards displayed.Here is why --There is such a ...
October 5th, 2007, 6:56 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<t>farmer: The UTG raiser raised 1000 when the blinds were miniscule. Why would he bet so strongly with overcards when anybody behind him could wake up with a real hand?Marsden: Agreed, tournaments are survival-games but at the beginning levels everybody should play it like a deep-stack cash game. (...
October 5th, 2007, 4:21 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)
Replies: 25
Views: 68761

### NLHE poker hand (AA vs 33)

<r>Here's one for you poker enthusiasts hoping more will be posted --1. 1st hand of WSOP tournament for no-limit Hold'em. Stacks are 10,000. Blinds are 20-40.2. You are in the small blind with 3s3h.3. Under-the-gun player (i.e. player after big blind) raises to 1000 and everybody else folds.What is ...
October 4th, 2007, 4:45 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Usefull functional equation
Replies: 7
Views: 91122

### Usefull functional equation

Or If you align the grid nicely, you see it is actually a Pascal triangle
October 2nd, 2007, 6:03 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Dots on the unit circle
Replies: 16
Views: 68483

### Dots on the unit circle

<t>Sorry, for the weird reasoning, I read: "probability of 3 points on a sphere that can be contained in a hemi-sphere." Apologies.But here's a contructive proof for the actual problem I think you'll like:Take the 3 points --Look at the possible displacements. (Displacement = moving the point across...
October 1st, 2007, 4:30 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Again with random walk
Replies: 5
Views: 67601

### Again with random walk

<t>From the Quick_Algebraic_Trick DEPT.Let P(n) = prob you are at n and hit b before you hit -b. Thus P(b) =0 and P(-b) = 1Also by recursion,Pn = 1/2*P(n+1) + 1/2*P(n-1) => P(n+1)-P(n) = P(n) - P(n-1) --------> result is intuitive, as this is a random walk.Let us call the first difference of this se...
October 1st, 2007, 4:04 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Topic: Dots on the unit circle
Replies: 16
Views: 68483

### Dots on the unit circle

<t>Can't you always choose a semi-sphere?Construction:Draw a "line" from the center of the sphere to each of the three points. You have a "cone" made of three lines with the tip at the center of the sphere.It is easy to see that this cone will AlWaYs be "acute" if you look at it right. Then you can ...
September 14th, 2007, 12:40 pm
Forum: Brainteaser Forum
Replies: 18
Views: 71212