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Polter
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

December 28th, 2011, 3:40 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: ppauper ROF being Santorum ? or Huntsman ?Rest Of Fieldhttp://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/pr_iacaucus12.html"The contract IA_ROF represents all candidates not named in another contract in this market. "
Last edited by Polter on December 27th, 2011, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

December 28th, 2011, 4:55 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: PolterQuoteOriginally posted by: ppauper ROF being Santorum ? or Huntsman ?Rest Of Fieldhttp://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/pr_iacaucus12.html"The contract IA_ROF represents all candidates not named in another contract in this market. "agreed, but are the folks buying that contract because they expect Santorum to win ? or Huntsman ?
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

December 31st, 2011, 12:17 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperQuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperDec 16, we hadQuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperRon Paul's now got a slightly bigger lead at the political exchange(the contract pays $1 if the candidate gets the first or second most votes at the caucus, $0 else)IA_PAUL 0.783 IA_GING 0.625 IA_ROMN 0.404 IA_BACH 0.062 IA_PERR 0.035 IA_ROF 0.021as of today (dec 24)IA_PAUL 0.844 IA_ROMN 0.800 IA_GING 0.263 IA_BACH 0.036 IA_PERR 0.025IA_ROF 0.031 so the Gingrich price has collapsed in the last 8 days and Romney's has doubled.dec 28Gingrich has dropped yet more:IA_PAUL 0.860 IA_ROMN 0.850 IA_GING 0.110IA_ROF 0.061IA_PERR 0.040IA_BACH 0.021ROF being Santorum ? or Huntsman ?Dec 31IA_ROMN 0.868 IA_PAUL 0.780 IA_ROF 0.231 IA_GING 0.040 IA_PERR 0.025 IA_BACH 0.002 edit: that "ROF" (which I think has to be people who think Santorum will place) is gaining fast and Newt is still dropping
Last edited by ppauper on December 30th, 2011, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 2nd, 2012, 11:07 am

coming down to the wireprices as of monday 2 JanIA_ROMN 0.881 IA_PAUL 0.601 IA_ROF 0.471 IA_GING 0.012 IA_PERR 0.012 IA_BACH 0.003 Newt and Perry are out of it,ROF is Santorum rising in the polls
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 2nd, 2012, 3:22 pm

PPP polling: photo finish in IAthey havePaul 20Romney 19Santorum 18Newt 14Perry 10Bachmann 8Huntsman 4Roemer 2Santorum up 8 in a week, Paul down 4
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 2nd, 2012, 4:43 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperThe Iowa caucuses are less than 4 weeks away (January 3, 2012).Anyone care to predict the winner (and we'll close entries on Christmas Eve at 1 minute to midnight Iowa time, so there's actually some advance prediction involved)predictions are closed and IA is tomorrow !ppauper said:>>.... the next not-Romney will win Iowa, and that will be Ron Paul CrashedMint said:>> Romney: 32.5>> Paul: 22.5
 
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Polter
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 3rd, 2012, 5:55 pm

 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 3rd, 2012, 6:29 pm

thanks, it's a 10-way tie at the moment, but I'll check back later
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 3rd, 2012, 7:15 pm

drudge's iowa readers QuoteDRUDGE READERS FROM IOWA VOTE:PAUL 496 31.47%SANTORUM 337 21.38%ROMNEY 336 21.32%over at intrade (chance to win) Romney is 52% Paul 24%Santorum 23.6thenNewt 0.7%
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 4th, 2012, 9:02 am

QuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperQuoteOriginally posted by: ppauperThe Iowa caucuses are less than 4 weeks away (January 3, 2012).Anyone care to predict the winner (and we'll close entries on Christmas Eve at 1 minute to midnight Iowa time, so there's actually some advance prediction involved)predictions are closed and IA is tomorrow !ppauper said:>>.... the next not-Romney will win Iowa, and that will be Ron Paul CrashedMint said:>> Romney: 32.5>> Paul: 22.5crashedmint gor the winner (if way off on the vote count), so well done
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 17th, 2012, 6:47 pm

still counting
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 19th, 2012, 12:48 pm

2012 GOP caucus count unresolvedQuoteTHE RESULTS: Santorum finished ahead by 34 votesMISSING DATA: 8 precincts? numbers will never be certifiedPARTY VERDICT: GOP official says, ?It?s a split decision?Rick Santorum ? Final total: 29,839 Change: -168Mitt Romney ? Final total: 29,805 Change: -210none of which helps santorum in the balance of the campaign
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 19th, 2012, 5:01 pm

and it looks like no one won as the results may never be certified
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

January 21st, 2012, 6:12 pm

another change !Santorum wins Iowa, officiallyso crashedmint did not get the winner after all
 
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ppauper
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Hawkeye Cauci Predictions

February 1st, 2016, 10:55 am

it's that time of the year againThe big questions are:how much does Trump win by?and does Sanders beat Clinton? it's neck and neck in the IA polls at the moment!
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