November 5th, 2012, 9:02 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: CrashedMintRyan was this Republican legend and now his "huge" accomplishment is making sure that Obama's numbers in Wisconsin don't change much? That guy was BORN there! The numbers should be 60:40 Ryan or maybe 55:45. But instead they are just the same as in August. In fact Obama's numbers are even slightly bigger than in August...Obama carried Wisconsin by 14 points. Kerry won Wisconsin. Which is why Wisconsin has been sparsely polled, and it is hard for you to see the impact looking at the sloppy RCP average. The fact that Obama is in Wisconsin the day before the election proves that something incredible has happened, which nobody expected: Wisconsin is in play.Here is the entire Wisconsin RCP list from July and August. WeAskAmerica doesn't even show a poll for August, then shows Obama up by 12 in September. So I guess you think Obama jumped 3 points in September, just because some idiot decided to do a poll? Rasmussen, who polled consistently, showed a 4-point swing to Romney. Everybody who polled in both months shows like 4 points for Romney. That is HUGE.PPP: 7 to RomneyCBS: 4 to RomneyRasmussen: 4 to RomneyMarquette: 2 to RomneyCBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 8/15 - 8/21 1190 LV 3.0 49 47 Obama +2Marquette University 8/16 - 8/19 576 LV 4.2 49 46 Obama +3PPP (D) 8/16 - 8/19 1308 LV 2.7 47 48 Romney +1Rasmussen Reports 8/15 - 8/15 500 LV 4.5 47 48 Romney +1CNN/Opinion Research 8/13 - 8/14 920 RV 3.0 49 45 Obama +4CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 7/31 - 8/6 1428 LV 3.0 51 45 Obama +6Marquette University 8/2 - 8/5 1188 LV 2.9 50 45 Obama +5Rasmussen Reports 7/25 - 7/25 500 LV 4.5 49 46 Obama +3WeAskAmerica 7/17 - 7/18 1162 LV 2.9 49 42 Obama +7Marquette University 7/5 - 7/8 810 LV 3.5 51 43 Obama +8PPP (D) 7/5 - 7/8 1057 RV 3.3 50 44 Obama +6
Last edited by
farmer on November 4th, 2012, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.