maybe if you find you make big money . I suggest -Options which pay if certain countries go to war: eg country X at war with country Y before Tmax (knockout feature), struck at 1M casualties (cheap OTM), conflict lasting at least Z years (parisian feature), ...-the market for mud, which is an important commodity soon to be increasingly correlated with housing & real estate values.Please call me if you are starting a hedge fund with money from emerging markets' new upper middle class! Note that the war market has exactly the same nice features as the good old credit market: the event (war or default) isn't supposed to happen: yet we all know if it does, that impedes the economy. So what the heck, let's create insurance for it! (Then of course some will push wars just to get their options knocked in.) I'm totally going into mud right now!
Last edited by croot
on November 18th, 2008, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.