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samudra
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Posts: 730
Joined: December 23rd, 2002, 2:48 pm

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 2:43 am

Our politicians and world central bankers have done/is doing a fabulousjob at digging grave of future generations.The overall debt/GDP in US, Europe, China, Japan is completelygoing out of control.1. Where does world debt/GDP stand?2. Historically has it ever been so high ever?3. What was world debt/GDP in 1913-14 (before 1st world war), 1927-28(before great recession),1938-39(before 2nd world war)?4. How will a)US b)Europe c)Japan d)China finance its debt overnext 1-2 decade(s)?5. What kind of long term impact will this massive debt overhang have on consumer sentiment in a)US b)Europe c)Japan d)China? Please factor in the demographic downside (nominal increase in consumer base in US, unless major overhaul in immigration, and significant decrease in consumer base in b)Europe c)Japan d)China) here.6. Keeping in mind the debt (and the consequent adverse consumer sentiment) what CAGR return on investment one can expect in a)S&P 500 b)FTSE, DAX etc c)Nikkei d)Shanghai composite over next 2 decade?
Last edited by samudra on August 30th, 2015, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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tw
Posts: 1173
Joined: May 10th, 2002, 3:30 pm

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 6:36 am

QuoteOriginally posted by: samudraOur politicians and world central bankers have done/is doing a fabulousjob at digging grave of future generations.The overall debt/GDP in US, Europe, China, Japan is completelygoing out of control.1. Where does world debt/GDP stand?2. Historically has it ever been so high ever?3. What was world debt/GDP in 1913-14 (before 1st world war), 1927-28(before great recession),1938-39(before 2nd world war)?4. How will a)US b)Europe c)Japan d)China finance its debt overnext 1-2 decade(s)?5. What kind of long term impact will this massive debt overhang have on consumer sentiment in a)US b)Europe c)Japan d)China? Please factor in the demographic downside (nominal increase in consumer base in US, unless major overhaul in immigration, and significant decrease in consumer base in b)Europe c)Japan d)China) here.6. Keeping in mind the debt (and the consequent adverse consumer sentiment) what CAGR return on investment one can expect in a)S&P 500 b)FTSE, DAX etc c)Nikkei d)Shanghai composite over next 2 decade? And how about 7. Who is on the other side of all this debt?
 
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Martinghoul
Posts: 3255
Joined: July 18th, 2006, 5:49 am

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 6:48 am

Before operating with these lofty concepts, you really need to define them better... What debt? Private? Sovereign? Net or gross? Domestic or external?
 
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samudra
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Posts: 730
Joined: December 23rd, 2002, 2:48 pm

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 7:01 am

tw,Where do you start and end in a circle?Does US constitution has provision to stop treasury payout?At some point the musical chair is going to start .....
 
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Martinghoul
Posts: 3255
Joined: July 18th, 2006, 5:49 am

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 8:41 am

I have no idea what you're referring to... There has been a lot written on this subject; you should look around, before asking questions.
Last edited by Martinghoul on August 30th, 2015, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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exneratunrisk
Posts: 3559
Joined: April 20th, 2004, 12:25 pm

World debt/GDP

August 31st, 2015, 2:20 pm

First, I doubt that GDP is a great reference for future economic power. Second, beware, information on debt is tricky, as an example look at this: Oh Dear--- Mistaking debt and a Target2 deficit---
Last edited by exneratunrisk on August 30th, 2015, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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Cuchulainn
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World debt/GDP

September 8th, 2015, 10:06 am

Living conditions on an Assam tea estate
Last edited by Cuchulainn on September 7th, 2015, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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DavidJN
Posts: 1744
Joined: July 14th, 2002, 3:00 am

World debt/GDP

September 8th, 2015, 12:47 pm

"The overall debt/GDP in US, Europe, China, Japan is completely going out of control."Ask yourself "if this is true, why can those countries still sell bonds?".
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