I managed to quickly write down the dependent variables for what its worth: N, S, E, I, R, D and C (i have no idea what they mean). Anyways, the researchers at Imperial (Neil Ferguson et al) have stark mortality rate predictions based on that ODE model.
I have been unable to locate the complete article.
N population?
S susceptible?
I infected or infectious?
R removed or recovered?
D deaths?
They need something about deaths due to damage to the economy in there. That’s looking very bad.
The model is probably useless. It’s going the same way as economics models. We are still in back of the envelope time, ie v simple but robust. Forget large numbers of coupled odes.