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jpmota92
Posts: 1
Joined: January 3rd, 2018, 10:39 am

Re: Volatility Trading And Predicting

January 3rd, 2018, 11:59 am

Can anyone kindly send me the paper please? [email protected] 
 
enricod75
Posts: 2
Joined: November 17th, 2016, 8:51 am

Re: Volatility Trading And Predicting

May 8th, 2023, 7:55 pm

Hello @frolloos,
I understand that many years have passed, and this paper can't be shared, but since you read it, and you've been so kind to summarize it here, can I ask you a couple of questions below?
Then express [$] dC [$] in terms of Black-Scholes Greeks. Once you've done that you have an equation for implied volatility. If you then assume that the correlation between implied volatility and the stock/index is constant across strikes, and also that the dollar gamma, volga and vanna are constant across strikes you have basically a way to calibrate the smile using 4 pillar options (or 3 if you assume the drift of implied vol is zero). This is in essence the so-called GVV cost frameworkby Arslan et al on which the paper by Alexander Giryavets builds.
With "the correlation between implied volatility and the stock/index is constant across strikes", do you mean the fixed strike BS volatility v, i.e. E[dv ds] constant  across strikes or E[dv/v * ds/s] constant across strikes like in the Arslan paper?
You also say that "that the dollar gamma, volga and vanna are constant across strikes". How can it be? Dollar gamma is maximum at the money, it cannot be constant across strikes.
Last question: does the paper deal with skew and fixed-strike floating-strike volatility?
Thank you in advance
 
frolloos
Posts: 752
Joined: September 27th, 2007, 5:29 pm
Location: Netherlands

Re: Volatility Trading And Predicting

August 9th, 2023, 3:15 pm

Hello @frolloos,
I understand that many years have passed, and this paper can't be shared, but since you read it, and you've been so kind to summarize it here, can I ask you a couple of questions below?
Then express [$] dC [$] in terms of Black-Scholes Greeks. Once you've done that you have an equation for implied volatility. If you then assume that the correlation between implied volatility and the stock/index is constant across strikes, and also that the dollar gamma, volga and vanna are constant across strikes you have basically a way to calibrate the smile using 4 pillar options (or 3 if you assume the drift of implied vol is zero). This is in essence the so-called GVV cost frameworkby Arslan et al on which the paper by Alexander Giryavets builds.
With "the correlation between implied volatility and the stock/index is constant across strikes", do you mean the fixed strike BS volatility v, i.e. E[dv ds] constant  across strikes or E[dv/v * ds/s] constant across strikes like in the Arslan paper?
You also say that "that the dollar gamma, volga and vanna are constant across strikes". How can it be? Dollar gamma is maximum at the money, it cannot be constant across strikes.
Last question: does the paper deal with skew and fixed-strike floating-strike volatility?
Thank you in advance
Yes a few years has passed, just checked in out of curiosity if the forum is still run by the usual suspects. It is.

Regarding the GVV, take a look at my answer here under user34971https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/53392/is-there-anywhere-i-can-read-the-paper-the-gamma-vanna-volga-cost-framework-fo/53399#53399

Until a few years again, maybe.