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tw
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Posts: 592
Joined: May 10th, 2002, 3:30 pm

has anyone used PredictIt?

January 7th, 2018, 7:28 pm

It seems to be a "low stakes" academic prediction market project by a New Zealand university but seemingly it is regulated under CFTC rules.
And also seems very expensive (10% of winnings , 5% charge on cash withdrawals and non US get a 40USD wire charge), albeit on 
very low maximum stakes.

The odds around some of the 2020 elections vs. special events seem a little out of whack:

Will Trump be President at end of 2019.  "No" trades for 36cents
Who will win 2020 Presidential election. "Trump" trades for 31cents.
 
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tags
Posts: 3162
Joined: February 21st, 2010, 12:58 pm

Re: has anyone used PredictIt?

January 19th, 2018, 6:58 pm

Government shutdown?
 
User avatar
tw
Topic Author
Posts: 592
Joined: May 10th, 2002, 3:30 pm

Re: has anyone used PredictIt?

January 20th, 2018, 11:09 am

Government shutdown?
.they still have "yes" offered at 62%,with expiry on the 22nd, it would appear.
 
EdwinB
Posts: 11
Joined: February 12th, 2018, 10:58 pm

Re: has anyone used PredictIt?

February 20th, 2018, 5:37 am

Well I prefer to see forex currency analysis and make my own investment decisions, but each one decides their best way to invest in the market