Hi chapsFirst post here with my new username, I've just retired my previous one that's got a bit too much personal information in it. But I'm still new here.Anyway, I am trading a small system based on events and the probability with which they occur. I hope to grow the system to significantly larger size over the next six to nine months. I have reasonable historic data on how many winning events I can expect in a year. My question is this: if, by the 10th month of the year, I've seen as many winning events as have occurred on average over the last n years, should I stop trading for the rest of the year? On the one hand I say yes, that I have filled the winning "slots" for the year and that on average the remaining slots should turn out to be empty. However, the other side of it is that the year is an arbitrary divider, and there's nothing to say that the average number of winning events won't be spread over 2 years or more. Your thoughts?