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tw
Posts: 592
Joined: May 10th, 2002, 3:30 pm

Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 8th, 2019, 9:08 am

Interesting link about the risks of gerrymandering

Is US electoral arithmetic so binary concerning having a degree or not?
you've got the wrong link in there. It's a pic of a guy with a bad haircut which you posted elsewhere and must have stuck in the memory
Oops  How embarrassing!
This was what I intended.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detai ... ymandering

Apologies.
 
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ppauper
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Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 8th, 2019, 4:09 pm

congressional apportionment (the number of congressmen/women per state) is based on population as recorded by the census, subject to the caveat that each state must have at least one..
Illegals (who aren't supposed to vote but sometimes do) are counted in that population, which has a distorting effect. A state whose population has a large proportion of illegals will be over-represented in the House.
There has also been an effort to create majority-black districts, under the theory that such districts are more likely to elect black congressmen/women
 
 
 
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bearish
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 25th, 2019, 10:48 pm

I haven't taken the trouble to fully understand the proposal, but dealing with trusts and other asset protection schemes would seem to be of first order importance to make something like this actually work. 
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 25th, 2019, 10:52 pm

Yes.
 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 27th, 2019, 4:11 am

looks like howard schulz, the former CEO of Starbucks, is in as an independent
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

January 31st, 2019, 9:32 pm

 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 1st, 2019, 6:59 am

looks like howard schulz, the former CEO of Starbucks, is in as an independent
it's going to be interesting to see what Bloomberg does.
I don't think he can win the democratic nomination because he's too moderate. That's why he ran as a republican in NYC. In the 2001 GOP primary, he defeated Herman Badillo, who was a democrat like Bloomberg. There were 67k valid votes in the GOP primary versus 790k in the democratic primary. In 2005, there doesn't seem to have been a GOP primary (wiki mentions a couple of other would-be candidates who couldn't scrape together the 7,500 signatures needed to get on the ballot), so Bloomberg was unopposed for the GOP nomination. In 2009, Bloomberg changed the law so he could serve a 3rd term (having come to power in 2001 because the previous mayor was term-limited). He changed his affiliation to Independent, but again won the GOP nomination unopposed.

So if Bloomberg gets creamed in the Democratic primary, or realizes early on that he can't win, does he run as an independent?
 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 2nd, 2019, 7:30 am

former vice president joe biden may run, because he feels that it's his turn.
Actually, 2016 should have been his turn as sitting VP, but he was pushed aside so hillary could run again
He's got a bunch of skeletons in his closet
Joe Biden embraced segregation in 1975, claiming it was a matter of 'black pride'
 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 3rd, 2019, 8:23 am

De Blasio: Bloomberg will be ‘laughed out’ of 2020 race
which brings us back to, does he run as an independent if he fails to secure the democratic nomination
 
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bearish
Posts: 5180
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 3rd, 2019, 1:02 pm

Mike is intelligent and has no interest in contributing to a Trump re-election. So he will not run as an independent, even though that would best represent his political positions. While he could win NYC as an independent, he obviously would have no chance doing that at the national level.
 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 3rd, 2019, 1:51 pm

I thought he ran as a republican all 3 times. The 3rd time, he changed his registration to independent but he ran as a republican anyway
Republican Party
Although changing his party affiliation from Republican to Independent in 2007, Bloomberg decided to run again as a Republican and was uncontested in the primary.
It's a shame the democratic party has become so extreme that Bloomberg and Howard Schultz can't win the nomination
 
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bearish
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 3rd, 2019, 2:47 pm

Forget about Schultz - he is temporary noise. Bloomberg is a current member of the Democratic party and would appear to be exploring his chances for a nomination there. It is shaping up to be a very broad field, not to say a field with many broads.
 
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ppauper
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Re: US Presidential Election 2020

February 4th, 2019, 6:27 am

The establishment must not want Tulsi Gabbard to win the democratic nomination. She's a congresswoman from Hawaii, part Samoan and a practicing Hindu (her mother who was of European ancestry appears to have converted to hinduism). She's an Iraq vet (served in a field medical unit of the Hawaii Army National Guard in a combat zone in Iraq from 2004 to 2005), supported Bernie in 2016, and would appear to support an America First foreign policy in that she's opposed to stupid wars and trade agreements. She also wants to bring back Glass–Steagall

NBC News, to Claim Russia Supports Tulsi Gabbard, Relies on Firm Just Caught Fabricating Russia Data for the Democratic Party
The firm that was NBC's source ran a "false flag" fake Russian troll farm during the Alabama Senate race to enable the democrat to claim that his republican opponent was a Russian stooge

Image
from zero hedge
This article is of course absurd. As we discussed recently, you will always see Russia on the same US foreign policy page as anti-interventionists like Tulsi Gabbard, because Russia, like so many other nations, opposes US interventionism. To treat this as some sort of shocking conspiracy instead of obvious and mundane is journalistic malpractice. There are many, many very good reasons to oppose the war agendas of the US-centralized empire, none of which have anything to do with having any loyalty to or sympathies for the Russian government.