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Gamal
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 9:18 am

Assuming the turnout and sentiments from 1/7/2016 (the micorosimulation has 3-month resolution, so this is the data which is the closest to the referendum) for the population demographics from 1/1/2019, I get 52% for Leave. (corrected, sorry - I previously copied the old result I rerun as a test)
Brexitcrossover.png
The past decided about the future.
 
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Paul
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 9:48 am

Kat, so nothing has changed?
 
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katastrofa
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 12:01 pm

Kat, so nothing has changed?
Certainly no miraculous changes in the voters demographics took place. Sentiments, turnout - about those we can speculate. (E.g. I and probably many people won't go to the second referendum simply because we don't want to be Guinea pigs for testing false positives. Similarly, if I'm asked how I vote, I say "remain", because I don't want to be harassed.)
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 12:02 pm

maybe they should hold a referendum on whether to hold a referendum
We did, it was called a General Election in which parties which got 80% of the total vote promised to honor the result of the 2016 ref.
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 12:03 pm

Assuming the turnout and sentiments from 1/7/2016 (the micorosimulation has 3-month resolution, so this is the data which is the closest to the referendum) for the population demographics from 1/1/2019, I get 52% for Leave. (corrected, sorry - I previously copied the old result I rerun as a test)
Brexitcrossover.png
The past decided about the future.
People have changed their mind. The generation which overwhelmingly voted to join the EC in the 1970s rejected the EU. Who changed more? the EU or the people?

Britain always had an ambivalent attitude towards continental Europe integration. We never fit in this structure. Both sides will be happier going their own way.
We'll still be friendly neighbours, after all.
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 1:24 pm

We'll still be friendly neighbours, after all.
LOL

The whole point of the EU was to ensure this. duh
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 1:31 pm

We'll still be friendly neighbours, after all.
LOL

The whole point of the EU was to ensure this. duh
Yes. To ensure that France doesn't go to war with Germany.

You don't need this to keep the Brits peaceful. Just let us trade.
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 1:42 pm

You don't need this to keep the Brits peaceful. Just let us trade.

You're a scream!
Tell that to the Irish.. LOL We've been 'trading' for the last 700 years.

Twat. Not all of us came down in the last shower. Now you can go to war w/o EU consent. And no pesky ECJ.
 
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katastrofa
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 5:11 pm

Do all those EU countries asked the EU for its consent to help bombing e.g. Yemen? Do German weapon producers arranged their contracts with Saudi Arabia through the EU or through the government of Merkel, who opens her arms so wide to welcome Middle East refugees?
If the EU doesn't "give consent" for any war, it's because their sponsors won't make money from it.
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 5:17 pm

Assuming the turnout and sentiments from 1/7/2016 (the micorosimulation has 3-month resolution, so this is the data which is the closest to the referendum) for the population demographics from 1/1/2019, I get 52% for Leave. (corrected, sorry - I previously copied the old result I rerun as a test)
Brexitcrossover.png
Are you saying that 52% will vote to leave in a second referendum. For Home Counties only? 

Image
 
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ISayMoo
Posts: 1399
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 23rd, 2019, 10:30 pm

You don't need this to keep the Brits peaceful. Just let us trade.

You're a scream!
Tell that to the Irish.. LOL We've been 'trading' for the last 700 years.

Twat. Not all of us came down in the last shower. Now you can go to war w/o EU consent. And no pesky ECJ.
Now, when did I ever call you such rude names, Sir?
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 24th, 2019, 11:12 am

It was the triteness that really did for me, And..

 Das ist nicht nur nicht richtig, es ist nicht einmal falsch! 
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 24th, 2019, 2:47 pm

No German please.
 
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Cuchulainn
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 26th, 2019, 8:38 pm

No German please.
I was trying to make it precise.
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Brexit Crossover Day

January 26th, 2019, 10:42 pm

Jawohl!
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