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ppauper
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 14th, 2018, 4:45 pm

for 2020, a new CNN poll has Biden as the leader for the democrats although hillary was not listed

Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Kamala Harris 9%
Pocahontas 8%
Cory Booker 5%
John Kerry 5%
Michael Bloomberg 4%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Eric Holder 3%
Eric Garcetti 2%
Michael Avenatti 1%
Kirstin Gillibrand 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Deval Patrick 1%
Steve Bullock 0%
John Delaney 0%
Someone else (vol.) 2%
None/No one (vol.) 2%
No opinion 6%
 
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ppauper
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 17th, 2018, 8:45 pm

 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 17th, 2018, 9:17 pm

This is getting even worse!

The Counselor

The Billionaire
 
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bearish
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 19th, 2018, 11:05 pm

Avenatti is smart. His opponents would underestimate him at their peril. Presidential material? Probably not, at least not yet. Bloomberg would make for a good president, albeit a tad paternalistic for my taste. He was an excellent mayor of NYC, even if he kind of pulled a fast one to get his third term. He had considered himself to be unelectable (short rich Jewish New Yorker), but then the country goes ahead and elects the ultimate unelectable, and all bets are off. Unlike Trump, he is a genuine self-made billionaire, and a sufficiently successful business builder that he could take 12 years off as CEO and return to a firm that was stronger than ever. 
 
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ppauper
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 5:26 am

Bloomberg was a so-so mayor. Compared to Guiliani, Bloomberg was a disaster as mayor. Compared to de Blasio, Bloomberg was a good mayor.
He isn't far enough to the left to win the democratic primary.
For that same reason (not far enough left), in NYC he initially had to run as a republican. The only other candidate in the GOP primary was Herman Badillo, a former democratic congressman who left congress in 1977 to become deputy mayor to Ed Koch (the "homo" in "vote for cuomo not the homo")
and a sufficiently successful business builder that he could take 12 years off as CEO and return to a firm that was stronger than ever.
in other words, the guy who replaced him as CEO did a far better job than Bloomberg
 
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ppauper
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 5:32 am

 
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bearish
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 12:12 pm

Bloomberg was a so-so mayor. Compared to Guiliani, Bloomberg was a disaster as mayor. Compared to de Blasio, Bloomberg was a good mayor.
He isn't far enough to the left to win the democratic primary.
For that same reason (not far enough left), in NYC he initially had to run as a republican. The only other candidate in the GOP primary was Herman Badillo, a former democratic congressman who left congress in 1977 to become deputy mayor to Ed Koch (the "homo" in "vote for cuomo not the homo")
and a sufficiently successful business builder that he could take 12 years off as CEO and return to a firm that was stronger than ever.
in other words, the guy who replaced him as CEO did a far better job than Bloomberg
I benefit from a bit of local knowledge, having lived in NYC for the entirety of the Giuliani, Bloomberg and de Blasio administrations. Giuliani was a relatively competent manager who benefited from very favorable economic developments under Clinton and positive local demographics. Hiring Bill Bratton as police commissioner and letting him transform the police department was also a very good move.

And I will duly note that your business judgment is as solid as your political acumen...
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 2:21 pm

Every person that I know who worked for Bloomberg L.P. hates Mike Bloomberg.
 
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bearish
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 8:51 pm

Every person that I know who worked for Bloomberg L.P. hates Mike Bloomberg.
Does your sample skew toward London based employees from the last few years? I know a rather large number of current and former BBG employees, including a few dozen  quantish people, and they do not broadly share that sentiment. But these are overwhelmingly NYC based, and many left the firm at least a few years ago. 
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 20th, 2018, 10:37 pm

In London, working for Bloomberg is something you do to get a foothold in the City after you graduate, quit as soon as you can get a job near a trading floor, and then don't mention the subject in polite company.
 
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tw
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 26th, 2018, 4:26 pm

Didn't Peter Carr do a stint there?
I must say, (apart from being able to rapidly rotate 3D vol surface diagrams around) the quantitative power of their product always struck me as limited given the talent available.
But then again I have a strong aversion to software where you need to know an arcane and undocumented language of product codes to pull up anything useful.

Every person that I know who worked for Bloomberg L.P. hates Mike Bloomberg.
Does your sample skew toward London based employees from the last few years? I know a rather large number of current and former BBG employees, including a few dozen  quantish people, and they do not broadly share that sentiment. But these are overwhelmingly NYC based, and many left the firm at least a few years ago. 
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 26th, 2018, 8:02 pm

That's because these talented people are busy debugging the infamous >1GB monolithic binary written in multiple languages, including C and Fortran.

Also, Bloomberg's selling point is not the quality of models (even though for many simple uses they're absolutely fine), but data. It used to be also Bloomberg chat, for recruiters, but LinkedIn took over this market.
 
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tw
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 27th, 2018, 9:52 am

That's because these talented people are busy debugging the infamous >1GB monolithic binary written in multiple languages, including C and Fortran.

Also, Bloomberg's selling point is not the quality of models (even though for many simple uses they're absolutely fine), but data. It used to be also Bloomberg chat, for recruiters, but LinkedIn took over this market.
And you get all this for the bargain price of  2k per month...
 
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ISayMoo
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 29th, 2018, 9:06 am

 
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ppauper
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Re: Democratic presidential contenders in 2016

October 29th, 2018, 9:33 am

Image