April 29th, 2002, 4:13 pm
Some comments on the above:remember that some years before many people were talking about Chaos Theory Applications in Asset Pricing. Now none. It seems that we just expected too much..Yet there are applications and tools that sound strange for people with a rather mainstream Economics/Finance background. Lets mention some: Genetic Algorithms, Neural Networks, Fuzzy Sets……..Don’t omit or neglect that the greatest innovations in the Field of Economics/Finance have been made through arbitrage among sciences. Examples? Lets mention the two most prestigiousMarkowitz took some statistical concepts combined with an Operational Research tool (Mathematical Programming) and a Computing tool(Simplex Algorithm) and applied them to the field of Portfolio Selection.(By the way I have noticed that this forum neglects OR applications in Finance, with the exception of simulation methods)Black & Scholes applied the heat equation (from Physics) in the pricing of options.Of course many other attempts of this “arbitrage” have taken place. Some have failed mainly because of inadequate problem specification. Being an economist is not just matter of knowledge. It is probably a “state of mind”, a type of though, a sort of a specific approach to a problem. An economist, a mathematician, a lawyer, and a computer scientist may approach the same problem each one with a different point of view.Thus, the main cause of failure I think is the lack of economic thought from people who attempt to make such types “arbitrage”