March 24th, 2004, 2:09 pm
This is a tough question to ask, but at least you have narrowed your focus to a European L/S manager. Even if you try and calculate capacity as 10% of average trading volume, it doesnt speak to how many names are in the portfolio.The trouble with capacity is that its got qualitative aspects as well as quantitative ones. For example, I think the biggest judge of a fund being constrained relates to marginal ideas. There comes a point in time when adding new names to the portfolio and investing more money for "diversification" is no longer justified. Why do many hedge fund managers, especially L/S, experience lower returns as AUM grows? There are a number of reasons, but primarily they are now putting more money in their "nth" - best idea because liquidity constraints dont allow them to simply maintain equal proportions in their best ideas, and simply sitting in cash dilutes returns and upsets the majority of investors who somehow equate being fully invested with optimal returns.You can also pretty much discount any capacity number the PM gives you, because he's earning a nice management fee on that money. With the explosion of HF popularity enabling managers to have absurd fee structures, 2% on $600MM a year doesnt sound so bad.I doubt I've offered you any help answering your question, but my conclusion has been that capacity is directly correlated to new idea flow. The more new ideas a fund can generate the larger the capacity. Some managers dont need more than $150MM, but I know very successful L/S funds with $750MM+ in AUM. The optimal average is probably much less than that.~RQ