July 29th, 2004, 7:32 pm
Black-Scholes is widely used, not so much for the accuracy of the formula, but for its usefulness in removing many of the non-linear dependencies of an option's value so that traders can focus on the volatility dimension of the option.I'm not sure efficient markets are necessary for Black-Scholes, and Leland published a modification to handle trading costs. In my opinion, the strongest assumption is that the underlying diffuses without jumps, which basically means that you do not know the direction of the next move, but you know the size of it (dW is stochastic, but dW^2 = dt, both scaled by volatility). In deriving the Black-Scholes PDE, this shows up as volatility being locally deterministic, meaning that knowing before the move how large it will be is like knowing your convexity yield from the gamma position.