February 16th, 2005, 1:58 pm
dude - you are talking to the right guy! my one claim to fame is that i am the grandfather trader of variance swaps - we dealt the first one in 1993. but i give full credit to the client for inventing it, and massive credit to the sophisticated marketers who could understand and sell it back then.a variance "swap", annoyingly so-called against my will by a marketer in that company, is actually a forward contract.the settlement price of the forward contract is normaly determined at the end of the contract's life by the daily historical closing prices of the underlying stock, index, currency, etc.the formula used for settlement looks very much like the standard definition of variance, with some minor adjustment.there is a strike price when you deal the swap, for example 13% on the eurostoxx 50. the 13% is what is quoted but the actual strike is 0.13^2, as the variance is the square of the volatility.so the contract is normally dealt with zero upfront payment, and the payoff function (if you bought variance) would look like this:payoff = "variance units" * ("final variance" - "variance strike")if the realised variance from the historical data is higher than the strike price, the variance buyer profits.you can see that it is quite easy to calculate the vega of a variance swap, and the swap is often dealt in vega amounts like $100k per volatility point. the vega obviously is a function of the vol level, so this vega amount refers to the vega at the strike price.variance swaps are quoted on many underlyings in equity as well as in FX.options on variance have been dealt on SPX, eurostoxx50 and FTSE-100 to my knowledge, with at least three banks quoting prices and about five more ready to join the party.