July 26th, 2002, 1:43 pm
I am not certainly whether my argument is right or not.At the first time , when I read JohnHull's book ,I also have this problem. At last , I found many books covered thest article in the same way : when they have never talk about the zero coupon , they use free risk rate to model . When the zero coupon appears, they now use it to model. Especially when you use measures(you can find this part in JohnHull's book ,the fourth edition , chap 19.) the zero coupon can as a measure to get martingale.Why we should think about risk premium?If you ever transfer a stochstic PDE into martingale, or you can try it now, you will find it is apparent.ds/s=udt+sigma*dw1(t)--->let ds/s=rdt+sigma*dw2(t)that means the market price of risk =(u-r)/sigma.Or we can say the zero coupon doesn't mean free risk rate , it also have risk. So it needs risk premium.