February 24th, 2005, 10:18 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: exotiqVaccines are a common-sense solution to me, and I don't mind federal regulation of it in some very limited form, but I do believe in this case, like many others, that local solutions would work better. I don't believe in gassing an entire building to kill one cockroach we know is on the 13th floor, just like I don't believe rural Oregon needs to be vaccinated as urgently as Jacksonville if the bird flu breaks out there. The massive deaths by lack of vaccinations are probably not as much a fault of the states as it is of no organization being effective about these vaccines, simply because politics prefers to think of the cure rather than prevention, which does not seem to differ between federal or state.______________________________A national approach to any bird flu outbreak would be far preferable than a state by state hodgepodge approach due to the extra-territorial and explosive nature of the problem of viruses spreading across state (and indeed national) boundaries.First, and most critically, we need a nationwide surveillance system which tracks emerging outbreaks and puts them in a databank like what we currently have at the CDC. We need standardized criteria to address the problem of unreported illnesses which turn out to be bird flu. This was a huge problem with SARS last year, with remote Chinese provinces underreporting which had extreme consequences much later and caused quite a few excess deaths due to China's decentralized approach. Contrast this with the outstanding performance of Vietnam combatting SARS, whose top-down get tough approach won worldwide accolades and admiration.For example, a national H5 avian flu reporting standard might say, "You need to tell us EVERY hospital admission with a rapid onset fever over 102 degrees accompanied by a persistent cough" instead of one state deciding that only fevers over 102.6 should be reported that have lasted longer than 4 days and another stating that fevers over 100.8 will be reported except in those cases where the patient is over 65 and has had a pneumonia shot within the last 2 years. The data points are far less helpful when 50 different metrics are used.Because the best epidemiologists are very few and far between, we need to concentrate and leverage their expertise in a crisis and not let some clowns in Alabama set standards allowing an impoverished family with one member having an unreported case of bird flu boarding an airplane to Tallahassee Florida, starting a new outbreak there which may not be properly reported, and having it then spread to New York City and lose 15,000 innocent people in NYC because of that initial ideological meta-mistake which prefers a bottoms up approach to public health no matter what.There's no point in that. That's the thumbnail sketch of why we need national (and indeed international) standards for surveillance and reporting for these dangerous outbreaks that will be coming. These issues just aren't in dispute among epidemiologists in the world; we learned all these lessons with polio and typhoid and tuberculosis and they are well settled.Then there's the issue of vaccine production and distribution and quarantines. We need national (not state) managment of exactly how much vaccine to produce and how to ship how much how rapidly where. It's very much of a war room scenario and just like generals in Miami's Southern Command need total battlefield information to the extent possible in Iraq and Afghanistan, this same methodology holds true for what is needed in Atlanta to manage an emerging pandemic with multiple outbreaks.Additionally, we need the national authority to shut down airline travel to and from cities and in the worst cases to manage road access to affected areas if, heaven forbid, something historically virulent comes along.We can't fight wars without a centralized command and we can't manage pandemics without a global, national and regional approach seamlessly woven together. A complete solution must necessarily include an entire problem within its scope, and global pandemics require a global approach.Surely operational decisions need to be made on the local level, but just as surely every war needs generals and centralized decision making and command and control to ultimately prevail.Matthew
Last edited by
mdubuque on February 23rd, 2005, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.