May 5th, 2005, 1:55 pm
There's a story on Bloomberg.com about Ken Griffin, the famous convertible-arb whiz kid, and Citadel/Wellington, the investment company he founded. Regarding Griffin's supposed efforts to scale his recipe across the planet, a man named Tarrant was quoted as saying,QuoteFew hedge funds have been able to capture the founding hedge fund manager's judgment into an institutionalized process.Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the real "problem" the ease of capturing a managers judgment not just into an institutionalized process, but into a popularized process? You could certainly say that of Richard Dennis, whose pupils became more successful using his objective numerical rules, to the point where he couldn't compete. Not even with the edge of his so-called judgment.The only person I can think of whose recipe hasn't been reproduced to irrelevance is George Soros. And that's because he has been too mushy-headed to express his strategy in any scientific way, to the point where not even he can reproduce it exactly. While his strategy nearly always works, he is as likely as not to follow it, or even know what he is doing or why.So I am curious, how has Citadel been doing lately? And is it really a failure of Griffin to scale his strategy to new opportunities, or isn't just a problem of everyone doing the same thing, to where it wouldn't matter if his whole firm got sucked into a hole in the ground and vanished?