August 8th, 2005, 8:17 am
Hi all,I am trying to model output of an aggregation of wind farms. The output is a function of the wind speed (v) and the yield curve for the turbine in question say P(v) and v is distributed according to a weibull distribution with parameters dependent on the specific site. How would you model Sum (P(v_i)) assuming that you have some closed form of P(v) ??The wind on different sites will obviously be correlated in some way, possibly dependent on wind speed.Secondly...The above approach will allow us to model average output over 10-15 days at each draw. On top of this we will need to add turbulence effects... again this will be a function of turbulence (t) and yield curve P(t)... turbulence is normally distributedwith mean = v_i (from the weibull draw) and st_dev about 30% (again this is site dependent),Any ideas on modelling approach or literature will be most appreciatedCheers