February 22nd, 2006, 10:30 pm
Is it possible to separate instantaneous dynamics of the smile when spot moves from finite-time forward smile ?instantaneous dynamics of the smileI mean the way risk reversal (in FX ; skew in equity) changes when spot move. More precisely, i guess i could quantify that by computing the expectation of RR conditionnal on spot tomorrow, and then take derivative wrt spot tomorrow. (By the way do i risk depending a lot on the choice of 1d for the conditionning time ?) In heston for example i would expect this to be 0 (sticky delta model), and for local vol i expect that to be too big. This is relevant for delta hedging of vanillas, ie. hedge the maximum we can on the spot.finite-time forward smile Say i look at the expectation of the 1M smile in 1Y. This is relevant for pricing exotics like OTM cliquets, and also a bit for barriers.Now my question is : how rigidly related are these two features ? Suppose I have a model that behaves right for point 1, can I modify it so that point 1 is unchanged, but point 2 is better ? Do you know good models for point 1 ? point 2 ? point 1 and 2 ?