November 3rd, 2001, 8:21 am
gemikon, we do care about correlation between the levels of FTSE and SPX. For example if we are making a convergence trade. But that may be better measured by cointegration than correlation. Anyway, I think that correlation between returns is nonsense. It's another case of putting the cart before the horse, mathematicians with little imagination use a tool they understand rather than create something more appropriate. Pat, I've been using such a nonlinear correlation since I was in short trousers! Haven't you heard of the "Rings of Saturn"? Plot return of one stock against another. In the middle there's a roundish cloud of dots, with more dots along a 45 degree (or whatever) line. The question is how to use this. I've been playing with a jump-diffusion multi-asset model where correlations are all zero. But the crash bit looks likeV(S_1,S_2,...,t)-V(J a_1 S_1, J a_2 S_2,...,t)with some distribution for the J and the a's being constant, different for each stock, the crash coefficients.P