May 29th, 2006, 12:26 pm
admittedly my skill set is mostly fast market trading of linear rate products and not financial theory, but the most important issue in the financial markets form my experience is the following:if you find yourself in a bad trade "sell what you OWN, not what you CAN"....there is a tremendous human psychological tendency of denial which leads many people to "liquidate" a bad trade not by selling the exact asset, but rather shorting something "correllated" and that "looks expensive" relative tp the crap that is actually owned.... for example if one goes long 10y govt bonds and rates subsequentyl gap higher and they to get out, it is not uncommon for that person to not want to fully admit their mistake and sell those exact 10y bonds, but rather to look that the yield curve and decide that since 5y bonds have fallen in price much less, then it is more sensible to sell 5y bonds agains the 10y bonds and make the bad trade into an even crappier yield curve trade,,,,, an old, hilarious trading associate of mine used to call this tendency "polishing the turd"......so in short my assertion of the most important issue in finance is not to polish the turd.....