June 18th, 2006, 5:44 am
QuoteOriginally posted by: tmaisnamCan someone please point me to any leads to previous posts or elsewhere or write up some information on the long term quant career pros and cons in finance vs energy sector. Is there a big difference in opportunities, skills and income between energy and the petroleum sector. Which areas have skills shortage factoring in the current and future economic developments and forecasts.cheers...tmaisnam - I'll try and give you an insight into quant work in the energy sector, and will leave it up to others to describe non-energy quant work...The energy markets are now in their third phase. In quant terms, the first phase was the "physical phase", when trading was about finding near-arbitrage conditions and exploiting them. This meant buying gas in one place, paying for transportation, and selling it in another. When done correctly it was a low risk way to make money. This ended in the mid 90's.The second phase was the "Enron phase". Virtual power stations, exotic structures and market making. Lots of fun, lots of money to be made (and lost), and brought to an end by the credit crunch. During this phase quants started to get hired, and some even wrote a few books. Very exciting times to be a quant, because so many new methods were being tried and tested. This phase also saw the birth of the off-the-shelf software that was meant to provide some certainty to traders. Fortunately the software was so bad, and the target so fast moving, that no externally developed models could possibly hope to keep up with a good quant team. Suddenly, having a Ph.D. was seen as a benefit...We are now in the "Vanilla phase". Because credit killed so many businesses, we have seen a massive shift towards cleared products, traded on exchanges. This has made life as a quant both easier and more difficult. The market is finally providing some transparency, but it is harder to trade structured products. Thus, the easy money from replicating portfolios is gone. A good trader is worth a lot more than a good quant today, in my humble opinion.I can see the current phase coming to an end soon, so to identify if now is a good time to become an energy quant, we need to guess what phase four will look like. I'm guessing it will be the "Portfolio Phase". This will be the most exciting time to be a quant. The guys who can work out how to most efficiently combine a portfolio of debt, equity, commodities and physical assets will make an absolute killing. Finding the efficient frontier with all these investments - well, let's just say I would pay somebody a LOT of money who could do this.As a starting point, I would just try and find work on ANY desk in a good energy or commodities trading shop. Don't worry too much about moving into the area where there is a perceived shortage of skills - it is much easier to identify these opportunities from the inside than the outside.Best of luck.EQ